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Conference League
Referee: Luis Godinho
HNK Rijeka
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Lille
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 90%
80%
100%
Points per game
2,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
2,6
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 11
2 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 17
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 Lille – HNK Rijeka 2–1

Match report

HNK Rijeka Lille
8′
🟨 Jonathan David
Toni Fruk 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Niko Galešić 🟨
46′
A. Vukčević 🔁
↦ N. Janković
46′
Franjo Ivanović 🟨
49′
1–0 I. Smolčić ⚽
58′
71′
ℹ️ Jonathan David
VAR: Goal cancelled
J. Obregón 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
77′
A. Grgić 🔁
↦ F. Ivanović
77′
S. Ilinković 🔁
↦ L. Selahi
86′
87′
🔁 B. Diakité
↦ L. Yoro
87′
🔁 H. Haraldsson
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
99′
🟨 Bafodé Diakité
99′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ E. Zhegrova
A. Liber 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
104′
108′
⚽ J. David 1–1
Andrija Vukčević 🟨
111′
Jorge Obregón 🟨
114′
115′
🔁 S. Umtiti
↦ R. Cabella
B. Bogojević 🔁
↦ V. Hodža
116′
Ivan Smolčić 🟨
121′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
1 N. Labrović G
28 I. Smolčić D
5 N. Galešić D
6 M. Mitrović D
3 B. Goda D
18 L. Selahi M
25 V. Hodža M
87 M. Pašalić M
21 T. Fruk M
4 N. Janković M
89 F. Ivanović F
Bench (12)
12 A. Vukčević
9 J. Obregón
23 A. Grgić
27 S. Ilinković
8 A. Liber
30 B. Bogojević
66 E. Dilaver
20 I. Lepinjica
32 M. Čabraja
77 Danilo Veiga
13 M. Zlomislić
45 A. Todorović

Coach: D. Raić

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
15 L. Yoro D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
31 Ismaily D
8 A. Gomes M
21 B. André M
23 E. Zhegrova M
10 R. Cabella M
17 Ivan Cavaleiro M
9 J. David F
Bench (10)
18 B. Diakité
7 H. Haraldsson
12 Y. Yazıcı
14 S. Umtiti
5 G. Gudmundsson
20 I. Miramón
16 A. Jakubech
13 A. Zedadka
34 A. Malouda
40 T. Negrel

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.