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Europa League
Referee: H Osmers
Lugano
S S T S T
0–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -23 St. Gilloise – Lugano 2–0

Match report

Lugano St. Gilloise
6′
⚽ D. Eckert Ayensa 0–1
Cameron Puertas
38′
🟨 Loic Lapoussin
Albian Hajdari 🟨
40′
Uran Bislimi 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
I. Aliseda 🔁
↦ R. Macek
46′
A. Grgić 🔁
↦ H. Mahmoud
46′
J. Espinoza 🔁
↦ A. Arigoni
46′
L. Mai 🔁
↦ K. Hajrizi
52′
65′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
65′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ Cameron Puertas
Y. Cimignani 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
74′
77′
🔁 N. Huygevelde
↦ L. Amani
77′
🔁 H. Teklab
↦ L. Lapoussin
85′
🔁 E. Kabangu
↦ N. Sadiki
Albian Hajdari 🟥
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
90 S. Deana G
34 A. Arigoni D
4 K. Hajrizi D
5 A. Hajdari D
23 M. Valenzuela D
14 J. Sabbatini M
29 H. Mahmoud M
7 R. Macek M
25 U. Bislimi M
10 M. Bottani F
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (10)
31 I. Aliseda
16 A. Grgić
6 J. Espinoza
17 L. Mai
21 Y. Cimignani
26 Martim Marques
99 D. Mina
22 A. El Wafi
60 C. Ndiaye
27 B. Babic

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
17 C. Terho F
24 C. Vanhoutte M
23 Cameron Puertas M
27 N. Sadiki D
10 L. Lapoussin M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Eckert Ayensa F
Bench (11)
29 G. Nilsson
4 M. Rasmussen
35 N. Huygevelde
11 H. Teklab
7 E. Kabangu
3 V. Boone
32 N. Louche
14 J. Imbrechts
48 F. Leysen
19 G. François
85 A. Dony

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.