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Conference League
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Fenerbahce
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 94%
88%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
6,0
Scored
3,3
2,5
Conceded
0,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,39 xG 0,57
62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Ludogorets
42′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
1–0 M. Batshuayi ⚽
42′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Bernard Tekpetey
Alexander Djiku 🟨
50′
2–0 M. Zajc ⚽
M. Batshuayi
52′
Rodrigo Becão 🟨
56′
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
62′
F. Kadıoğlu 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
63′
S. Szymański 🔁
↦ Fred
63′
65′
⚽ Rodrigo Becão 3–0
own goal
72′
🔁 K. Duah
↦ Rwan Cruz
72′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ Caio Vidal
75′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
Miguel Crespo 🟨
79′
U. Nayir 🔁
↦ M. Batshuayi
80′
85′
🔁 D. Yankov
↦ Claude Gonçalves
C. Ünder 🔁
↦ R. Kent
90′
92′
🔁 F. Russo
↦ N. Sonko Sundberg
92′
🔁 M. Chouiar
↦ B. Tekpetey
93′
🟨 Anton Nedyalkov
93′
🟨 Spas Delev
4–0 M. Zajc ⚽
S. Szymański
93′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
70 İ. Eğribayat G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
6 A. Djiku D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
26 M. Zajc M
27 Miguel Crespo M
35 Fred M
10 D. Tadić F
23 M. Batshuayi F
11 R. Kent F
Bench (12)
17 İ. Kahveci
7 F. Kadıoğlu
53 S. Szymański
22 U. Nayir
20 C. Ünder
5 İ. Yüksek
92 E. Karayazı
40 D. Livaković
9 E. Džeko
49 M. İmre
67 D. Demir
95 Y. Akçiçek

Coach: İ. Kartal

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
12 S. Sluga G
16 A. Witry D
26 N. Sonko Sundberg D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
8 Claude Gonçalves M
30 Pedro Naressi M
37 B. Tekpetey M
6 J. Piotrowski M
77 Caio Vidal M
99 Rwan Cruz F
Bench (11)
9 K. Duah
90 S. Delev
64 D. Yankov
22 F. Russo
11 M. Chouiar
88 T. Nedelev
69 P. Pepelyashev
17 Son
5 G. Terziev
1 S. Padt
10 M. Tissera

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.