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Conference League
Referee: V Spasjoņņikovs
Spartak Trnava
S T T T U
1–2
Full-time
Ludogorets
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spartak Trnava Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,6
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,20 xG 3,56
35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Ludogorets – Spartak Trnava 4–0

Match report

Spartak Trnava Ludogorets
25′
ℹ️ Bernard Tekpetey
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
J. Bernát 🔁
↦ F. Bainovič
46′
57′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
M. Mikovič 🔁
↦ P. Azango
67′
M. Djuričin 🔁
↦ M. Ďuriš
72′
J. Paur 🔁
↦ M. Bukata
72′
74′
⚽ K. Duah 0–1
B. Tekpetey
1–1 E. Daniel ⚽
K. Ofori
78′
M. Šulek 🔁
↦ L. Štetina
79′
Kristián Koštrna 🟨
80′
85′
ℹ️ Jakub Piotrowski
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Martin Mikovič 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 Rwan Cruz
↦ Pedro Naressi
88′
🔁 M. Tissera
↦ B. Tekpetey
92′
🟨 Caio Vidal
95′
⚽ M. Tissera 1–2
97′
🟨 Matías Tissera
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Spartak Trnava

4-3-3
71 D. Takáč G
24 K. Koštrna D
2 L. Štetina D
26 S. Kóša D
23 E. Daniel D
25 F. Bainovič M
80 A. Zeljković M
28 M. Bukata M
97 K. Ofori F
57 M. Ďuriš F
11 P. Azango F
Bench (11)
27 J. Bernát
29 M. Mikovič
7 M. Djuričin
17 J. Paur
18 M. Šulek
13 M. Ujlaky
6 R. Procházka
4 N. Gorosito
72 M. Vantruba
5 M. Breznik
20 A. Oseni

Coach: M. Gašparík

Ludogorets

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
26 N. Sonko Sundberg D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
37 B. Tekpetey M
30 Pedro Naressi M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
77 Caio Vidal M
6 J. Piotrowski F
9 K. Duah F
Bench (10)
99 Rwan Cruz
10 M. Tissera
12 S. Sluga
11 M. Chouiar
17 Son
69 P. Pepelyashev
64 D. Yankov
88 T. Nedelev
5 G. Terziev
22 F. Russo

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Spasjoņņikovs · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.