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Conference League
Referee: O Berka
Ludogorets
T S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,2
Scored
2,2
3,0
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 95%
100%
89%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
5,3
3,8
Scored
2,0
3,2
Conceded
3,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 0,14
33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ludogorets Fenerbahce
1–0 J. Piotrowski
A. Nedyalkov
18′
Anton Nedyalkov 🟨
32′
38′
🟨 Miguel Crespo
Claude Gonçalves 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Miha Zajc
49′
🟨 Jayden Oosterwolde
Caio Vidal 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 İ. Kahveci
↦ R. Kent
63′
🔁 S. Szymański
↦ M. Zajc
Franco Russo 🟨
71′
S. Delev 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
71′
Rwan Cruz 🔁
↦ K. Duah
72′
76′
🔁 U. Nayir
↦ Miguel Crespo
76′
🔁 C. Ünder
↦ D. Tadić
77′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
M. Chouiar 🔁
↦ Caio Vidal
79′
2–0 Rwan Cruz
A. Witry
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
12 S. Sluga G
16 A. Witry D
22 F. Russo D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
6 J. Piotrowski M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
37 B. Tekpetey F
9 K. Duah F
77 Caio Vidal F
Bench (12)
90 S. Delev
99 Rwan Cruz
11 M. Chouiar
88 T. Nedelev
64 D. Yankov
5 G. Terziev
17 Son
1 S. Padt
26 N. Sonko Sundberg
67 D. Hristov
44 M. Heister
10 M. Tissera

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
95 Y. Akçiçek D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
5 İ. Yüksek M
27 Miguel Crespo M
26 M. Zajc M
10 D. Tadić F
23 M. Batshuayi F
11 R. Kent F
Bench (11)
17 İ. Kahveci
53 S. Szymański
22 U. Nayir
20 C. Ünder
9 E. Džeko
92 E. Karayazı
49 M. İmre
91 K. Akyazı
70 İ. Eğribayat
97 F. Akyüz
29 A. Aydın

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Berka · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.