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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Tirol
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
16%
58%
Points per game
0,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
53%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tirol 11. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 20 13 5 2 +31 44
2 Sturm Graz 19 11 6 2 +16 39
3 LASK 20 9 7 4 +9 34
4 Hartberg 20 9 6 5 +6 33
5 A. Klagenfurt 19 7 9 3 +1 30
6 Wolfsberger AC 20 8 5 7 +1 29
7 SK Rapid 19 7 7 5 +14 28
8 Austria Vienna 19 7 6 6 +3 27
9 BW Linz 19 4 7 8 -11 19
10 Altach 20 4 5 11 -13 17
11 Tirol 19 3 2 14 -19 11
12 A. Lustenau 20 1 3 16 -38 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -23 Sturm Graz – Tirol 1–0 19. Mar -23 Tirol – Sturm Graz 0–2 9. Oct -22 Sturm Graz – Tirol 2–1 12. Feb -22 Tirol – Sturm Graz 2–2 19. Sep -21 Sturm Graz – Tirol 5–0

Match report

Tirol Sturm Graz
9′
⚽ M. Biereth 0–1
12′
⚽ J. Gorenc Stankovič 0–2
Half-time 0–2
61′
🟥 Gregory Wüthrich
J. Forst 🔁
↦ A. Buksa
63′
64′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ O. Kiteishvili
65′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ M. Biereth
B. Blume 🔁
↦ C. Üstündag
72′
S. Škrbo 🔁
↦ D. Gugganig
73′
A. Ranacher 🔁
↦ L. Kronberger
82′
82′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ A. Prass
87′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ J. Gazibegović
87′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ A. Camara
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
26 D. Štumberger D
22 O. Okungbowa D
3 D. Gugganig D
44 K. Schulz D
30 M. Taferner M
20 C. Üstündag M
7 L. Kronberger M
9 N. Prelec F
11 A. Buksa F
Bench (7)
19 J. Forst
10 B. Blume
23 S. Škrbo
14 A. Ranacher
1 P. Schermer
98 S. Ogrinec
28 T. Geris

Coach: T. Silberberger

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
31 L. Marić G
22 J. Gazibegović D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
5 G. Wüthrich D
8 A. Prass D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
24 D. Lavalée M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
36 A. Camara F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
28 D. Schnegg
9 S. Włodarczyk
25 S. Hierländer
2 M. Johnston
11 M. Sarkaria
41 E. Lorenz
15 W. Bøving

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.