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Conference League
Referee: B Berke
Zrinjski
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zrinjski Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 53%
20%
86%
Points per game
0,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
40%
86%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 1,07
24% Possession 76%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Aston Villa – Zrinjski 1–0

Match report

Zrinjski Aston Villa
Dario Čanađija 🟨
4′
T. Kiš 🔁
↦ D. Čanađija
34′
37′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 L. Digne
↦ Álex Moreno
58′
🔁 J. McGinn
↦ J. Ramsey
61′
⚽ N. Zaniolo 0–1
J. McGinn
A. Hrvanović 🔁
↦ K. Memija
67′
F. Sabljić 🔁
↦ M. Ćuže
67′
69′
🔁 Diego Carlos
↦ Pau Torres
69′
🔁 C. Chambers
↦ M. Cash
79′
🔁 T. O'Reilly
↦ M. Diaby
84′
🟨 John McGinn
1–1 M. Malekinušić ⚽
T. Kiš
87′
Matija Malekinušić 🟨
88′
L. Marin 🔁
↦ M. Malekinušić
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zrinjski

4-2-3-1
35 M. Marić G
6 J. Ćorluka D
27 S. Jakovljević D
15 S. Radić D
50 K. Memija D
5 D. Čanađija M
8 D. Zlomislić M
17 M. Malekinušić M
20 A. Ivančić M
25 M. Ćuže M
99 N. Bilbija F
Bench (8)
10 T. Kiš
22 A. Hrvanović
9 F. Sabljić
2 L. Marin
24 P. Mišić
1 A. Sefo
29 A. Prskalo
95 M. Senić

Coach: M. Ivanković

Aston Villa

4-1-3-2
42 F. Marschall G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
14 Pau Torres D
15 Álex Moreno D
6 Douglas Luiz M
19 M. Diaby M
22 N. Zaniolo M
32 L. Dendoncker M
24 J. Durán F
41 J. Ramsey F
Bench (8)
12 L. Digne
7 J. McGinn
3 Diego Carlos
16 C. Chambers
58 T. O'Reilly
1 E. Martínez
11 O. Watkins
44 B. Kamara

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Berke · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.