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Conference League
Referee: R Saggi
Vikingur Reykjavik
S S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vikingur Reykjavik Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,39 xG 1,78
35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vikingur Reykjavik Panathinaikos
1–0 D. Atlason ⚽
E. Agnarsson
12′
22′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ T. Bakasetas
37′
🔁 E. Fikaj
↦ E. Palmer-Brown
Davíð Örn Atlason 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
J. Fjóluson 🔁
↦ O. Ekroth
46′
M. Vilhjálmsson 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
50′
2–0 M. Vilhjálmsson ⚽
56′
Matthías Vilhjálmsson ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
58′
66′
🔁 A. Gnezda Čerin
↦ M. Siopis
66′
🔁 Tetê
↦ D. Mancini
66′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ A. Jeremejeff
70′
🟨 Filip Đuričić
D. Djuric 🔁
↦ E. Agnarsson
71′
Tarik Ibrahimagić 🟨
74′
Danijel Dejan Djuric 🟨
79′
V. Andrason 🔁
↦ T. Ibrahimagic
84′
89′
ℹ️ Karol Świderski
VAR: Penalty confirmed
91′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vikingur Reykjavik

3-5-2
1 I. Jónsson G
20 T. Ibrahimagic D
4 O. Ekroth D
2 S. Þorkelsson D
24 D. Atlason M
7 E. Agnarsson M
21 A. Þrándarson M
11 D. Hafsteinsson M
9 H. Guðjónsson M
25 V. Ingimundarson F
17 A. Sigurpálsson F
Bench (11)
5 J. Fjóluson
27 M. Vilhjálmsson
19 D. Djuric
8 V. Andrason
10 P. Punyed
80 P. Arinbjörnsson
30 D. Jónsson
77 S. Þórðarson
3 D. Aronsson
6 G. Vatnhamar
12 H. Sigurðsson

Coach: S. Ottesen

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Lodygin G
27 G. Kotsiras D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
24 M. Siopis M
20 N. Maksimović M
17 D. Mancini M
11 T. Bakasetas M
31 F. Đuričić M
29 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (9)
19 K. Świderski
26 E. Fikaj
16 A. Gnezda Čerin
10 Tetê
7 F. Ioannidis
3 P. Max
30 A. Bregou
81 K. Lilo
80 T. Dabizas

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.