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Europa League
Referee: L Visser
PAOK
S S T T S
1–2
Full-time
FCSB
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK FCSB
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 25%
20%
30%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,29 xG 1,84
48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -24 PAOK – FCSB 0–1

Match report

PAOK FCSB
Dimitrios Pelkas 🟨
14′
1–0 M. Samatta ⚽
21′
Taison 🟨
32′
O. Colley 🔁
↦ G. Michailidis
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Dawa
↦ S. Ngezana
46′
🔁 A. Gheorghiță
↦ D. Miculescu
Taison 🟨
49′
Taison 🟥
49′
50′
🟨 Siyabonga Ngezana
50′
⚽ A. Gheorghiță 1–1
F. Tănase
51′
🟨 Vlad Chiricheş
52′
🟨 Daniel Bîrligea
56′
🔁 M. Edjouma
↦ V. Chiricheș
60′
⚽ J. Dawa 1–2
R. Radunović
Brandon Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
61′
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
61′
65′
🟨 Andrei Gheorghita
68′
🔁 B. Alhassan
↦ D. Bîrligea
Mady Camara 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
69′
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ S. Meïté
69′
72′
🟨 Risto Radunović
75′
🟨 Malcom Edjouma
78′
🟨 Adrian Șut
83′
🔁 M. Ștefănescu
↦ J. Cisotti
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
82 S. Meïté M
22 S. Schwab M
80 D. Pelkas M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
70 M. Samatta F
Bench (12)
15 O. Colley
71 Brandon Thomas
77 K. Despodov
2 Mady Camara
27 M. Ozdoev
47 S. Shoretire
99 A. Tsiftsis
9 F. Chalov
23 Joan Sastre
14 A. Živković
54 K. Balomenos
25 K. Thymianis

Coach: R. Lucescu

FCSB

4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu G
2 V. Crețu D
30 S. Ngezana D
17 M. Popescu D
33 R. Radunović D
21 V. Chiricheș M
8 A. Șut M
11 D. Miculescu M
31 J. Cisotti M
7 F. Tănase M
9 D. Bîrligea F
Bench (10)
5 J. Dawa
77 A. Gheorghiță
18 M. Edjouma
42 B. Alhassan
15 M. Ștefănescu
25 A. Băluță
38 L. Zima
28 A. Pantea
1 M. Udrea
29 A. Musi

Coach: I. Charalampous

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.