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Europa League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Midtjylland
T S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Sociedad
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,10 xG 1,26
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Sociedad
2′
🟨 Jon Balda
10′
ℹ️ Brais Méndez
VAR: Penalty confirmed
11′
⚽ Brais Méndez 0–1
24′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Jon Balda
Adam Buksa 🟨
25′
31′
⚽ T. Kubo 0–2
Brais Méndez
1–2 A. Buksa ⚽
O. Sørensen
38′
Half-time 1–2
P. Bravo 🔁
↦ Dani Silva
46′
46′
🔁 Sergio Gómez
↦ Barrenetxea
46′
🔁 N. Aguerd
↦ Jon Pacheco
46′
🔁 Martín Zubimendi
↦ Jon Olasagasti
Aral Şimşir 🟨
51′
Denil Castillo 🟨
58′
61′
🟨 Brais Méndez
M. Krüger-Johnsen 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
66′
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ D. Castillo
66′
74′
🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal
↦ O. Óskarsson
V. Bak Jensen 🔁
↦ Paulinho
77′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ O. Sørensen
81′
94′
🟨 Jon Aramburu
95′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
6 J. Andersson D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
21 D. Castillo M
80 Dani Silva M
24 O. Sørensen M
11 D. Osorio F
18 A. Buksa F
58 A. Şimşir F
Bench (12)
19 P. Bravo
41 M. Krüger-Johnsen
7 Franculino Djú
55 V. Bak Jensen
20 V. Byskov
3 Lee Han-Beom
14 E. Chilufya
73 Juninho
16 E. Ólafsson
13 A. Gabriel
31 L. Selin
38 Marrony

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
13 Unai Marrero G
19 J. Aramburu D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
20 Jon Pacheco D
33 Jon Balda D
16 Jon Olasagasti M
28 Pablo Marín M
14 T. Kubo M
23 Brais Méndez M
7 Barrenetxea M
9 O. Óskarsson F
Bench (12)
12 Javi López
17 Sergio Gómez
21 N. Aguerd
4 Martín Zubimendi
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
31 Jon Martín
24 L. Sučić
8 A. Zakharyan
11 S. Becker
32 Aitor Fraga
1 Álex Remiro
22 Beñat Turrientes

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.