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Europa League
Referee: D Rumšas
St. Gilloise
S S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Ajax
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/14 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
64%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
63%
36%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 1,36
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Ajax
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Šutalo
↦ D. Rugani
59′
⚽ C. Rasmussen 0–1
O. Edvardsen
62′
🟨 Jorthy Mokio
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
62′
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ P. David
63′
71′
⚽ J. Mokio 0–2
72′
🔁 A. Gaaei
↦ Lucas Rosa
72′
🔁 K. Taylor
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
Kevin Mac Allister 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ S. Berghuis
83′
🔁 M. Godts
↦ C. Rasmussen
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
85′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
25 A. Khalaili M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
27 N. Sadiki M
22 O. Niang M
9 F. Ivanović F
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
12 P. David F
Bench (10)
77 M. Fuseini
13 K. Rodríguez
4 M. Rasmussen
33 S. Berradi
23 S. Boufal
31 M. Asaidi
14 J. Imbrechts
28 K. Machida
1 V. Chambaere
32 M. Asri

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 Lucas Rosa D
24 D. Rugani D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
31 J. Mokio M
18 D. Klaassen M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
29 C. Rasmussen F
23 S. Berghuis F
17 O. Edvardsen F
Bench (12)
37 J. Šutalo
3 A. Gaaei
8 K. Taylor
20 B. Traoré
11 M. Godts
36 D. Janse
13 A. Kaplan
63 S. Steur
64 R. Bounida
12 J. Gorter
9 B. Brobbey
51 C. Setford

Coach: F. Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.