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Super League

Referee: H Osmers

Aris Thessalonikis

T T U S S

2–0

Full-time

Panathinaikos

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Super League · 21/23 matches

Win Ø 50%

48%

52%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

38%

26%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

2,2

1,9

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Panathinaikos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	24	15	6	3	+22	51
2	AEK	22	14	4	4	+24	46
3	Panathinaikos	23	12	8	3	+8	44
4	PAOK	24	12	5	7	+17	41
5	Asteras Tripolis	24	11	6	7	+6	39
6	Aris	22	11	4	7	+5	37
7	Aris Thessalonikis	21	10	4	7	+3	34
8	OFI Crete	24	9	6	9	-3	33
9	Panetolikos	23	9	5	9	+0	32
10	Atromitos	23	8	5	10	-1	29
11	Volos NFC	23	7	3	13	-18	24
12	Panserraikos	23	6	4	13	-11	22
13	Levadeiakos	22	3	9	10	-11	18
14	Athens Kallithea	23	2	9	12	-16	15
15	Lamia	23	1	6	16	-25	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	8	4	0	+13	28
2	AEK	11	8	3	0	+21	27
3	Panathinaikos	12	7	4	1	+7	25
4	Aris	11	7	2	2	+8	23
5	Asteras Tripolis	12	7	1	4	+6	22
6	Aris Thessalonikis	10	6	2	2	+6	20
7	Panetolikos	12	5	1	6	+0	16
8	OFI Crete	12	4	3	5	-3	15
9	PAOK	12	4	2	6	+1	14
10	Panserraikos	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Levadeiakos	11	2	4	5	-6	10
12	Athens Kallithea	12	2	4	6	-7	10
13	Atromitos	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Volos NFC	11	1	2	8	-12	5
15	Lamia	11	0	3	8	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	12	8	3	1	+16	27
2	Olympiakos	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Atromitos	12	6	2	4	+3	20
4	AEK	11	6	1	4	+3	19
5	Panathinaikos	11	5	4	2	+1	19
6	Volos NFC	12	6	1	5	-6	19
7	OFI Crete	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	5	3	+0	17
9	Panetolikos	11	4	4	3	+0	16
10	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Aris	11	4	2	5	-3	14
12	Panserraikos	11	3	0	8	-8	9
13	Levadeiakos	11	1	5	5	-5	8
14	Lamia	12	1	3	8	-11	6
15	Athens Kallithea	11	0	5	6	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.