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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
TSC Backa Topola
T S U T S
1–3
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TSC Backa Topola Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,23 xG 2,17
52% Possession 48%
5 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 7
21 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

TSC Backa Topola Jagiellonia
1–0 P. Mboungou ⚽
P. Stanić
28′
31′
⚽ Jesús Imaz 1–1
Half-time 1–1
70′
🔁 D. Stojinović
↦ E. Ebosse
70′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ D. Churlinov
B. Sós 🔁
↦ M. Lazetić
76′
78′
🔁 T. Romanczuk
↦ L. Flach
78′
🔁 O. Pietuszewski
↦ Miki Villar
81′
⚽ Afimico Pululu 1–2
M. Pantović 🔁
↦ Stefan Jovanović
84′
86′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ Afimico Pululu
88′
⚽ Jesús Imaz 1–3
J. Kubicki
A. Pejić 🔁
↦ I. Milosavljević
92′
Luka Capan 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

TSC Backa Topola

4-3-2-1
12 V. Ilić G
25 M. Đorđević D
32 M. Degenek D
31 L. Capan D
60 V. Radojević D
11 I. Milosavljević M
7 M. Rádin M
14 P. Stanić M
22 Stefan Jovanović M
29 P. Mboungou M
9 M. Lazetić F
Bench (10)
88 B. Sós
27 M. Pantović
6 A. Pejić
23 N. Jorgić
4 V. Krstić
21 D. Savič
5 D. Stevanović
16 A. Stančić
1 N. Simić
35 D. Trajkovic

Coach: J. Damjanović

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
23 E. Ebosse D
44 João Moutinho D
20 Miki Villar M
14 J. Kubicki M
31 L. Flach M
11 Jesús Imaz F
10 Afimico Pululu F
21 D. Churlinov F
Bench (9)
3 D. Stojinović
99 K. Hansen
6 T. Romanczuk
80 O. Pietuszewski
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
1 M. Stryjek
5 C. Polak
29 M. Listkowski
82 Tomás Silva

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.