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Conference League
Referee: Matthew MacDermid
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Joseph S Fc Shamrock Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

St Joseph S Fc Shamrock Rovers
4′
🟨 Graham Burke
Ethan Jolley 🟨
10′
13′
R. Gaffney 0–1
L. Volz 🔁
↦ E. Jolley
29′
Half-time 0–1
Facundo Álvarez 🟨
54′
Álvaro Rey 🟨
55′
J. Forjan 🔁
↦ A. Martinez
58′
M. Gibson 🔁
↦ A. Armental
58′
64′
🔁 A. McEneff
↦ D. Watts
64′
🔁 J. Byrne
↦ G. Burke
67′
D. Mandroiu 0–2
Juan Manuel Gonzalez Perez 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 M. Noonan
↦ R. Gaffney
71′
🔁 J. McGovern
↦ D. Mandroiu
73′
J. McGovern 0–3
75′
J. Byrne 0–4
J. McGovern
Fran Paul 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ D. Grant
H. Adamou 🔁
↦ A. Rey
86′
Manuel Sanchez 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Joshua Honohan
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

St Joseph S Fc

4-3-3
1 B. Banda G
2 E. Jolley D
4 J. Paul D
5 G. Barba D
12 A. Martinez D
22 Juanma M
6 M. Sanchez
23 F. Alvarez F
25 A. Armental F
9 P. Rodriguez Moreno F
10 A. Rey
Bench (8)
13 M. Zappacosta
3 J. Olivero
7 J. Forjan
11 L. Volz
15 E. Santos
17 M. Gibson
19 Juanfri
24 H. Adamou

Coach: Abraham Paz Cruz

Shamrock Rovers

4-4-2
1 E. McGinty G
5 L. Grace D
4 R. Lopes D
6 D. Cleary D
2 J. Honohan D
21 D. Grant M
14 D. Mandroiu M
17 M. Healy M
7 D. Watts M
20 R. Gaffney F
10 G. Burke F
Bench (11)
25 L. Steacy
8 A. McEneff
11 S. Kavanagh
15 D. Nugent
16 G. O'Neill
22 C. Barrett
27 C. O'Sullivan
29 J. Byrne
31 M. Noonan
36 V. Ozhianvuna
88 J. McGovern

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.