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Conference League
Referee: Tim Marshall
FC Astana
T T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Zimbru
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Zimbru
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FC Astana Zimbru
45′
⚽ G. Dahan 0–1
N. Clescenco
Half-time 0–1
V. Stina 🔁
↦ N. Clescenco
46′
D. Kozlovskiy 🔁
↦ G. Dahan
46′
1–1 I. Basic ⚽
56′
62′
🔁 R. Karimov
↦ C. Geoffrey
74′
🔁 N. Zhaksylykov
↦ M. Tomasov
74′
🔁 A. Beysebekov
↦ A. Amanovic
Matteo Amoroso 🔁
↦ T. Sharkovskiy
77′
84′
🔁 D. Camaj
↦ O. Camara
84′
🔁 S. Basmanov
↦ N. Gripshi
J. Gaya 🔁
↦ I. Ranera
86′
A. Macritchii 🔁
↦ B. Paz
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Astana

4-4-2
28 N. Cebotari
35 N. Zolotov
33 M. Stefan
3 S. Burghiu
29 A. Dosso
23 B. Paz
44 I. Ranera
2 D. Rodrigues
8 T. Sharkovskiy
17 N. Clescenco
9 G. Dahan
Bench (11)
12 S. Agachi
5 Matteo Amoroso
11 V. Stina
15 D. Kozlovskiy
18 N. Covali
19 V. Fratea
21 L. Radu
24 J. Gaya
25 O. Shchebetun
30 A. Macritchii
45 M. Ebikabowei

Coach: Grigoriy Babayan

Zimbru

4-2-3-1
93 J. Condric
2 K. Bartolec
5 K. Kazukolovas
3 B. Kalaica
6 Y. Vorogovskiy
10 M. Tomasov
45 A. Amanovic
8 I. Basic
28 O. Camara
77 N. Gripshi
9 C. Geoffrey
Bench (11)
74 M. Seysen
99 D. Karpikov
4 M. Bystrov
11 D. Camaj
14 N. Zhaksylykov
15 A. Beysebekov
18 D. Shomko
22 A. Marochkin
71 S. Anuarov
72 S. Basmanov
81 R. Karimov

Coach: Oleg Kubarev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.