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Conference League
Referee: Jamie Robinson
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Valur Reykjavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Kauno Žalgiris Valur Reykjavik
28′
🟨 Bjarni Mark Antonsson
Anton Tolordava 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Jansonas
A. Benchaib
58′
F. Cernych 🔁
↦ T. Chogadze
61′
73′
🔁 L. Heimisson
↦ A. Skoglund
73′
🔁 A. Palsson
↦ P. Pedersen
E. Burdzilauskas 🔁
↦ R. Jansonas
77′
81′
🟨 Tomas Magnusson
81′
🔁 A. Johannsson
↦ K. Sigurdsson
81′
🔁 O. Kjartansson
↦ J. Jonsson
88′
🔁 J. Palsson
↦ S. Larusson
88′
T. Haraldsson 1–1
A. Palsson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

55 T. Svedkauskas G
21 H. Bah-Traore D
3 A. Tolordava D
23 A. Hernandez D
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor D
8 V. Armanavicius M
10 G. Sirgedas M
9 T. Chogadze M
7 A. Benchaib M
70 F. Ourega M
19 R. Jansonas F
Bench (12)
22 D. Mikelionis
35 J. Miksiunas
2 T. Burdzilauskas
5 D. Kerkez
6 D. Pavlovic
11 F. Cernych
14 D. Naah
20 R. Lekiatas
28 E. Burdzilauskas
30 N. Vosylius
66 E. Jurjonas
79 V. Paulauskas

Valur Reykjavik

4-4-1-1
18 F. Schram G
11 S. Larusson D
6 B. Antonsson M
15 H. Eyjolfsson D
20 O. Omarsson D
12 T. Haraldsson M
10 K. Sigurdsson M
2 T. Magnusson
8 J. Jonsson M
14 A. Skoglund M
9 P. Pedersen
Bench (11)
25 S. Agustsson
95 S. Johannesson
4 M. Nakkim
7 A. Johannsson
17 L. Heimisson
19 O. Kjartansson
21 J. Palsson
23 A. Palsson
30 M. Kjeld
33 A. Hoti
97 B. Jonsson

Coach: Srdjan Tufegdzic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.