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Referee: Luca Pairetto
AEK
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hapoel Beer Sheva
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

AEK Hapoel Beer Sheva
3′
🟨 Igor Zlatanović
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Relvas ⚽
P. Mantalos
50′
R. Ljubicic 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
58′
A. Martial 🔁
↦ F. Pierrot
58′
58′
🔁 A. C. Ganah
↦ Z. Ahmed
M. Gacinovic 🔁
↦ A. Koita
62′
67′
🟨 Shai Elias
Robert Ljubičić 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 A. Garita
↦ G. Mizrahi
74′
🔁 A. Turgeman
↦ S. Elias
77′
🔁 R. Levy
↦ I. Zlatanovic
Stavros Pilios 🟨
78′
85′
🟨 Paul Arnold Garita
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ Zini
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
44 F. Relvas D
2 H. Moukoudi D
3 S. Pilios D
20 P. Mantalos M
37 R. Pereyra M
13 O. Pineda M
11 A. Koita M
90 Zini F
14 F. Pierrot F
Bench (11)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
6 J. Jonsson
7 D. Kutesa
8 M. Gacinovic
21 D. Vida
23 R. Ljubicic
26 A. Martial
29 J. Penrice
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-3-3
55 N. Eliasi G
2 G. Mizrahi D
5 O. Blorian D
3 M. Baltaxa D
13 O. Davidzada D
7 E. Peretz M
19 S. Elias M
20 K. Kangwa M
10 D. Biton F
66 I. Zlatanovic F
9 Z. Ahmed F
Bench (11)
1 O. Marciano
36 Y. Shani
4 Miguel Vitor
11 A. C. Ganah
12 J. Sabobo
14 A. Garita
16 M. Siman Tov
17 A. Turgeman
18 R. Levy
23 I. Hazut
29 E. Almog

Coach: Ran Kozuch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luca Pairetto · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.