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Super League

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Panathinaikos

S S U T T

3–1

Full-time

AEK

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 54%

48%

59%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

31%

45%

Both score Ø 40%

48%

31%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 14

2 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	30	20	6	4	+30	66
2	AEK	29	17	6	6	+31	57
3	PAOK	30	16	5	9	+26	53
4	Panathinaikos	29	14	9	6	+5	51
5	Aris Thessalonikis	28	14	6	8	+7	48
6	Aris	28	14	6	8	+7	48
7	OFI Crete	31	12	6	13	-3	42
8	Atromitos	29	11	6	12	+0	39
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	11	6	13	-5	39
10	Levadeiakos	30	9	10	11	+1	37
11	Panetolikos	30	10	7	13	-3	37
12	Panserraikos	30	8	5	17	-22	29
13	Volos NFC	30	7	7	16	-21	28
14	Athens Kallithea	30	5	10	15	-17	25
15	Lamia	30	3	7	20	-36	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	11	4	0	+17	37
2	AEK	15	10	3	2	+25	33
3	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+10	31
4	Aris Thessalonikis	14	9	3	2	+11	30
5	Aris	14	9	3	2	+11	30
6	PAOK	15	7	2	6	+11	23
7	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	1	8	-2	22
8	OFI Crete	15	6	3	6	+0	21
9	Panetolikos	15	6	2	7	+1	20
10	Levadeiakos	15	5	4	6	+2	19
11	Panserraikos	15	4	5	6	-6	17
12	Athens Kallithea	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Atromitos	14	3	4	7	-4	13
14	Lamia	15	2	3	10	-15	9
15	Volos NFC	15	1	5	9	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+15	30
2	Olympiakos	15	9	2	4	+13	29
3	Atromitos	15	8	2	5	+4	26
4	AEK	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	OFI Crete	16	6	3	7	-3	21
6	Panathinaikos	15	5	5	5	-5	20
7	Volos NFC	15	6	2	7	-8	20
8	Levadeiakos	15	4	6	5	-1	18
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	5	3	6	-4	18
10	Aris	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Panetolikos	15	4	5	6	-4	17
13	Panserraikos	15	4	0	11	-16	12
14	Athens Kallithea	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Lamia	15	1	4	10	-21	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.