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Champions League
Referee: G Kabakov
Leverkusen
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 52%
57%
46%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
57%
54%
Both score Ø 38%
29%
46%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,68 xG 0,82
71% Possession 29%
26 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Sparta Praha
Edmond Tapsoba ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
30′
1–0 F. Wirtz ⚽
J. Frimpong
32′
36′
🟨 Veljko Birmančević
Half-time 1–0
63′
🟨 Victor Olatunji
2–0 N. Tella ⚽
64′
Granit Xhaka 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 L. Haraslín
↦ V. Olatunji
Aleix García 🔁
↦ E. Palacios
83′
R. Andrich 🔁
↦ N. Tella
83′
85′
🔁 K. Daněk
↦ Q. Laçi
85′
🔁 M. Suchomel
↦ T. Wiesner
Arthur 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
88′
A. Stepanov 🔁
↦ P. Schick
90′
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
90′
Robert Andrich 🟨
92′
93′
🔁 E. Krasniqi
↦ J. Zelený
93′
🔁 L. Penxa
↦ V. Birmančević
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
17 M. Kovář G
23 N. Mukiele D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
19 N. Tella F
10 F. Wirtz F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (10)
24 Aleix García
8 R. Andrich
13 Arthur
29 A. Stepanov
7 J. Hofmann
1 L. Hrádecký
36 N. Lomb
28 B. Hawighorst
40 F. Onyeka
47 K. Alajbegović

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Sparta Praha

3-5-2
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
19 A. Ševínský D
25 A. Sørensen D
28 T. Wiesner M
18 L. Sadílek M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
30 J. Zelený M
7 V. Olatunji F
14 V. Birmančević F
Bench (10)
22 L. Haraslín
13 K. Daněk
2 M. Suchomel
29 E. Krasniqi
54 L. Penxa
27 F. Panák
46 J. Heerkens
44 J. Surovčík
5 M. Ross
38 D. Rus

Coach: L. Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.