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Conference League
Referee: S Jovanovic
Fiorentina
T U S S S
2–4
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 57%
67%
46%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
46%
Both score Ø 44%
33%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,39 xG 2,46
50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Jagiellonia – Fiorentina 0–3

Match report

Fiorentina Jagiellonia
Pietro Comuzzo 🟨
7′
17′
🟨 Kamil Jóźwiak
23′
⚽ B. Mazurek 0–1
36′
🔁 D. Drachal
↦ K. Jozwiak
45′
⚽ B. Mazurek 0–2
Half-time 0–2
D. de Gea 🔁
↦ L. Lezzerini
46′
J. Harrison 🔁
↦ N. Fortini
46′
49′
⚽ B. Mazurek 0–3
A. Pululu
M. Solomon 🔁
↦ J. Fazzini
62′
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ R. Mandragora
62′
66′
🔁 S. Bazdar
↦ N. Wojtuszek
75′
🟨 Samed Baždar
Marin Pongračić 🟨
77′
M. Kean 🔁
↦ R. Piccoli
89′
89′
🔁 L. Flach
↦
94′
🟨 Alejandro Pozo
A. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦
100′
Dodô 🟨
101′
106′
🟨 Taras Romanczuk
106′
🔁 D. Rallis
↦ B. Mazurek
1–3 N. Fagioli ⚽
107′
110′
🟨 Bernardo Vital
1–4 T. Romanczuk ⚽
own goal
114′
117′
🔁 Y. Kobayashi
↦ A. Pozo
118′
⚽ J. Imaz 1–5
A. Pelmard
120′
🟨 Bernardo Vital
120′
🟥 Bernardo Vital
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-4-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
29 N. Fortini D
15 P. Comuzzo D
5 M. Pongracic D
21 R. Gosens D
2 Dodo M
8 R. Mandragora M
27 C. Ndour M
22 J. Fazzini M
80 G. Fabbian F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
43 D. de Gea
50 P. Leonardelli
6 L. Ranieri
10 A. Gudmundsson
17 J. Harrison
19 M. Solomon
20 M. Kean
44 N. Fagioli
60 E. Kouadio
62 L. Balbo
63 P. Bonanno
65 F. Parisi

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
70 A. Pelmard D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
86 B. Mazurek M
7 A. Pozo M
11 J. Imaz M
72 K. Jozwiak M
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (8)
66 A. Damasiewicz
4 Y. Kobayashi
8 D. Drachal
9 D. Rallis
14 S. Bazdar
17 Y. Sylla
31 L. Flach
85 E. Kozlowski

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanovic · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.