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Conference League
Referee: M Balakin
HNK Rijeka
U U S U S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Omonia Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 49%
43%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 23%
14%
31%
Both score Ø 19%
14%
23%
Average goals
1,1
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,11 xG 1,46
58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Rijeka Omonia Nicosia
13′
M. Tankovic 0–1
R. Mmaee
D. Petrovic 🔁
↦ T. Barisic
17′
25′
🟨 Ewandro Costa
40′
🟨 Moses Odubajo
Alfonso Barco 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 T. Fruk
T. Dantas
52′
56′
🟨 Jure Balkovec
61′
🔁 A. Christou
↦ Ewandro
2–1 T. Fruk
D. Adu Adjei
67′
M. Devetak 🔁
↦ A. Barco
70′
70′
🔁 A. Dionkou
↦ M. Odubajo
70′
🔁 A. Neofytou
↦ C. Eiting
3–1 D. Adu Adjei
79′
G. Rukavina 🔁
↦ S. Vignato
80′
A. Gojak 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
80′
A. Juric 🔁
↦ D. Adu Adjei
80′
84′
🔁 A. Chatzigiovanis
↦ W. Semedo
84′
🔁 M. Maric
↦ M. Tankovic
92′
🟨 Giannis Masouras
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

3-4-1-2
13 M. Zlomislic G
6 S. Radeljic D
45 A. Majstorovic D
28 T. Barisic D
22 A. Orec M
55 A. Barco M
26 T. Dantas M
23 J. Lasickas M
19 S. Vignato F
18 D. Adu Adjei F
10 T. Fruk F
Bench (12)
1 V. Kovac
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
8 D. Petrovic
9 D. Cop
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
25 D. Thaqi
34 M. Devetak
51 A. Husic
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Omonia Nicosia

4-2-3-1
23 F. Uzoho G
21 G. Masouras D
5 S. Coulibaly D
29 J. Balkovec D
28 M. Odubajo D
74 P. Andreou M
6 C. Eiting M
11 Ewandro M
22 M. Tankovic M
7 W. Semedo M
19 R. Mmaee F
Bench (11)
98 C. Kyriakidis
2 A. Dionkou
10 A. Chatzigiovanis
14 M. Maric
27 S. Simic
30 N. Panagiotou
31 I. Kousoulos
44 N. Erakovic
82 A. Christou
85 A. Neofytou
90 C. Konstantinidis

Coach: Henning Berg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.