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Premier League
Referee: Paul Tierney
West Ham
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Everton
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
55%
36%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
73%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 6. · Everton 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 11 8 1 2 +17 25
2 Arsenal 11 8 1 2 +13 25
3 Leicester 11 6 4 1 +4 22
4 Man United 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Tottenham 11 5 5 1 +10 20
6 West Ham 11 6 2 3 +7 20
7 Southampton 11 4 5 2 +5 17
8 Liverpool 11 4 5 2 +0 17
9 Everton 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Crystal Palace 11 5 1 5 +1 16
11 Watford 11 4 4 3 +0 16
12 West Brom 11 4 2 5 -4 14
13 Swansea 11 3 4 4 -3 13
14 Stoke 11 3 4 4 -3 13
15 Chelsea 11 3 2 6 -6 11
16 Newcastle 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Norwich 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Bournemouth 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Sunderland 11 1 3 7 -12 6
20 Aston Villa 11 1 1 9 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Everton
1–0 M. Lanzini
30′
34′
🟨 James McCarthy
43′
R. Lukaku 1–1
Deulofeu
Half-time 1–1
E. Valencia 🔁
↦ D. Payet
50′
59′
🟨 Ramiro Funes Mori
64′
🔁 K. Mirallas
↦ A. Koné
M. Zárate 🔁
↦ E. Valencia
69′
83′
🔁 A. Lennon
↦ Deulofeu
N. Jelavić 🔁
↦ A. Carroll
87′
Mauro Zárate 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Ham

13 Adrián G
2 W. Reid D
5 J. Tomkins D
3 A. Cresswell D
12 C. Jenkinson D
27 D. Payet M
16 M. Noble M
20 V. Moses M
8 C. Kouyaté M
28 M. Lanzini M
9 A. Carroll F
Bench (7)
11 E. Valencia
10 M. Zárate
26 N. Jelavić
1 D. Randolph
21 A. Ogbonna
30 M. Antonio
39 J. Cullen

Everton

24 T. Howard G
23 S. Coleman D
25 Ramiro Funes Mori D
5 J. Stones D
32 B. Galloway D
18 G. Barry M
16 J. McCarthy M
20 R. Barkley M
9 A. Koné M
10 R. Lukaku F
19 Deulofeu M
Bench (7)
11 K. Mirallas
12 A. Lennon
1 Joel Robles
4 D. Gibson
14 S. Naismith
21 L. Osman
30 M. Holgate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.