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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
M'gladbach
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach FC Ingolstadt 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,5
1,5
Scored
3,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
55%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
82%
9%
Both score Ø 41%
64%
18%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
2,1
0,6
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 6. · FC Ingolstadt 04 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 10 1 0 +29 31
2 Dortmund 11 8 2 1 +19 26
3 Wolfsburg 11 6 3 2 +4 21
4 Hertha 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Schalke 04 11 6 2 3 +1 20
6 M'gladbach 11 6 0 5 +5 18
7 Leverkusen 11 5 2 4 -1 17
8 FC Ingolstadt 04 11 4 3 4 -2 15
9 FC Koln 11 4 3 4 -4 15
10 Hamburg 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Mainz 11 4 1 6 -3 13
13 Darmstadt 11 3 4 4 -3 13
14 Hannover 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Stuttgart 11 3 1 7 -6 10
16 Werder Bremen 11 3 1 7 -7 10
17 Hoffenheim 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Augsburg 11 1 3 7 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach FC Ingolstadt 04
Granit Xhaka 🟨
18′
31′
🟨 Romain Brégerie
37′
🟨 Mathew Leckie
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Pascal Groß
J. Drmic 🔁
↦ M. Dahoud
51′
59′
🟨 Tobias Levels
67′
🟨 Konstantin Engel
67′
🔁 K. Engel
↦ P. Groß
Álvaro Domínguez 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 D. da Costa
↦ L. Hinterseer
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ I. Traoré
79′
84′
🟨 Alfredo Morales
Granit Xhaka 🟨
86′
Granit Xhaka 🟥
86′
N. Elvedi 🔁
↦ Raffael
88′
91′
🔁 M. Christiansen
↦ M. Hartmann
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
19 F. Johnson M
15 Álvaro Domínguez D
3 A. Christensen D
6 H. Nordtveit D
16 I. Traoré M
13 L. Stindl F
34 G. Xhaka M
8 M. Dahoud M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
9 J. Drmic
10 T. Hazard
30 N. Elvedi
4 R. Brouwers
18 M. Schulz
21 T. Sippel
31 B. Hrgota

FC Ingolstadt 04

1 R. Özcan G
28 T. Levels D
34 M. Matip D
29 M. Suttner D
18 R. Brégerie D
5 B. Hübner D
6 A. Morales M
10 P. Groß F
9 M. Hartmann F
16 L. Hinterseer F
7 M. Leckie M
Bench (7)
20 K. Engel
21 D. da Costa
19 M. Christiansen
11 T. Pekhart
23 R. Bauer
25 E. Kachunga
26 Ø. Nyland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.