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Pro League
Kortrijk
S U T U U
1–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 19%
10%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
30%
82%
Both score Ø 66%
50%
82%
Average goals
1,6
3,6
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kortrijk 16. · Mechelen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 10 7 3 0 +14 24
2 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +17 22
3 Gent 9 6 3 0 +10 21
4 Anderlecht 9 6 3 0 +10 21
5 St Truiden 12 6 1 5 +1 19
6 Waregem 10 5 2 3 +5 17
7 Genk 9 5 0 4 -1 15
8 Charleroi 9 3 4 2 +2 13
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 3 4 5 -2 13
10 Beveren 12 4 1 7 -9 13
11 Mechelen 11 3 3 5 -4 12
12 Westerlo 15 2 6 7 -11 12
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 3 3 9 -12 12
14 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -6 10
15 Standard 11 3 1 7 -12 10
16 Kortrijk 10 1 6 3 -2 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Mechelen
1–0 Ž. Tomašević
30′
Half-time 1–0
H. Kage 🔁
↦ S. De Smet
46′
66′
🔁 J. Naessens
↦ N. Verdier
E. Rolland 🔁
↦ T. Kiš
78′
78′
🔁 G. Claes
↦ T. Matthys
83′
🔁 S. De Witte
↦ S. De Petter
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

16 D. Keet
17 G. De Mets
31 A. Van Loo
6 B. Poulain
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
8 N. Pavlović
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
44 T. Kiš
Bench (7)
18 H. Kage
26 E. Rolland
3 F. Boyer
12 L. Van Eenoo
13 M. Sifakis
20 S. Gigot
88 S. Sarr

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
3 V. Volkov
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
33 M. Kosanović
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
44 I. Cissé
9 D. Veselinović
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
17 J. Naessens
77 G. Claes
4 S. De Witte
10 R. Wolski
11 M. Rits
30 J. Vanlerberghe
26 C. Coosemans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.