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Bundesliga

Referee: Wolfgang Stark

Darmstadt

U T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Hamburg

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

27%

36%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 36%

45%

27%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 13. · Hamburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	11	1	0	+33	34
2	Dortmund	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Wolfsburg	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Hertha	12	6	2	4	+2	20
5	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+1	20
6	M'gladbach	12	6	1	5	+5	19
7	FC Koln	12	5	3	4	-3	18
8	Leverkusen	12	5	2	5	-2	17
9	Mainz	12	5	1	6	-1	16
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	4	4	4	-2	16
11	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	5	4	-1	14
12	Hamburg	11	4	2	5	-5	14
13	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	-3	13
14	Hannover	12	3	2	7	-10	11
15	Werder Bremen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
16	Stuttgart	12	3	1	8	-10	10
17	Hoffenheim	12	1	5	6	-7	8
18	Augsburg	11	1	3	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	7	0	0	+25	21
2	Wolfsburg	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
4	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Hertha	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	M'gladbach	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Leverkusen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Mainz	7	3	0	4	-1	9
10	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	-5	6
12	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Augsburg	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Hoffenheim	6	0	3	3	-4	3
17	Hannover	6	1	0	5	-7	3
18	Werder Bremen	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
4	Hertha	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	M'gladbach	6	3	0	3	+3	9
6	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	FC Koln	6	3	0	3	-4	9
8	Hamburg	6	3	0	3	-4	9
9	Darmstadt	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Hannover	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Mainz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Leverkusen	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	Stuttgart	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.