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Ligue 1
Referee: Nicolas Rainville
St Etienne
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Rennes
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
38%
69%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 8. · Rennes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 3 0 +32 45
2 Angers 17 8 6 3 +7 30
3 Caen 17 9 2 6 +2 29
4 Monaco 17 7 7 3 +1 28
5 Lyon 17 7 5 5 +5 26
6 Nice 17 7 4 6 +8 25
7 Lorient 17 6 7 4 +4 25
8 St Etienne 16 8 1 7 +0 25
9 Marseille 17 6 5 6 +7 23
10 Rennes 16 5 7 4 +2 22
11 Nantes 17 6 4 7 -3 22
12 Bordeaux 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 Lille 17 4 8 5 -1 20
14 Reims 17 5 5 7 -3 20
15 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 17 5 5 7 -3 20
16 Montpellier 17 5 4 8 -3 19
17 Guingamp 17 5 4 8 -7 19
18 Bastia 17 5 3 9 -6 18
19 Toulouse 17 3 6 8 -12 15
20 Troyes 17 0 6 11 -25 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.