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Championship

Referee: Graham Scott

Sheffield Weds

S S T S U

0–0

Full-time

Derby

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Derby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Championship · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

41%

53%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

59%

35%

Both score Ø 62%

76%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sheffield Weds 11. · Derby 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	18	11	7	0	+11	40
2	Middlesbrough	19	12	3	4	+17	39
3	Hull	18	10	5	3	+17	35
4	Burnley	19	9	7	3	+7	34
5	Derby	17	9	6	2	+13	33
6	Cardiff	19	7	8	4	+4	29
7	Birmingham	19	8	4	7	+3	28
8	Ipswich	19	7	7	5	+1	28
9	Brentford	19	8	4	7	+1	28
10	Reading	19	7	6	6	+4	27
11	Sheffield Weds	17	7	6	4	+3	27
12	QPR	19	7	5	7	-1	26
13	Blackburn	19	5	9	5	+3	24
14	Wolves	19	6	6	7	+0	24
15	Nott'm Forest	19	6	5	8	+0	23
16	Fulham	19	5	7	7	-2	22
17	Leeds	19	5	7	7	-4	22
18	Preston	19	4	9	6	-1	21
19	Huddersfield	19	4	6	9	-9	18
20	Milton Keynes Dons	19	4	4	11	-11	16
21	Bristol City	19	3	7	9	-14	16
22	Charlton	19	4	4	11	-15	16
23	Rotherham	19	4	3	12	-13	15
24	Bolton	19	1	9	9	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	10	8	2	0	+8	26
2	Middlesbrough	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	Hull	8	6	2	0	+13	20
4	Burnley	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Derby	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Cardiff	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Sheffield Weds	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	QPR	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Reading	10	4	4	2	+6	16
10	Brentford	10	5	1	4	-1	16
11	Nott'm Forest	10	4	3	3	+4	15
12	Ipswich	10	3	5	2	+2	14
13	Fulham	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Blackburn	9	2	5	2	+3	11
15	Birmingham	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Charlton	9	3	2	4	-5	11
17	Bolton	10	1	7	2	-1	10
18	Wolves	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Milton Keynes Dons	9	3	1	5	-3	10
20	Huddersfield	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Leeds	10	2	3	5	-5	9
22	Bristol City	10	2	3	5	-7	9
23	Preston	9	1	5	3	-2	8
24	Rotherham	10	2	2	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Middlesbrough	10	5	2	3	+3	17
3	Hull	10	4	3	3	+4	15
4	Derby	8	4	3	1	+4	15
5	Brighton	8	3	5	0	+3	14
6	Wolves	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Burnley	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Ipswich	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Leeds	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Preston	10	3	4	3	+1	13
11	Blackburn	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Brentford	9	3	3	3	+2	12
13	Reading	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Cardiff	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Sheffield Weds	9	2	4	3	-3	10
17	QPR	10	3	1	6	-7	10
18	Huddersfield	10	2	3	5	-7	9
19	Nott'm Forest	9	2	2	5	-4	8
20	Rotherham	9	2	1	6	-6	7
21	Bristol City	9	1	4	4	-7	7
22	Milton Keynes Dons	10	1	3	6	-8	6
23	Charlton	10	1	2	7	-10	5
24	Bolton	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.