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Primeira Liga

Referee: Cosme Cunha Machado

Moreirense

U T U S S

0–0

Full-time

Sp Braga

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 37%

18%

55%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

18%

36%

Both score Ø 27%

36%

18%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,4

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25% Possession 75%

8 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 15. · Sp Braga 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+16	32
2	Porto	12	9	3	0	+20	30
3	Benfica	11	8	0	3	+20	24
4	Sp Braga	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	Vitoria Setubal	12	4	6	2	+5	18
6	Rio Ave	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Pacos Ferreira	12	5	2	5	-2	17
8	Arouca	12	3	7	2	+1	16
9	Nacional	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Estoril	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Maritimo	12	4	2	6	-5	14
12	Guimaraes	11	3	4	4	-6	13
13	Belenenses	12	3	4	5	-14	13
14	U. Madeira	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Moreirense	11	2	4	5	-6	10
16	Boavista	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Academica	12	1	4	7	-14	7
18	Tondela	12	1	2	9	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+16	18
3	Sp Braga	6	4	1	1	+11	13
4	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Estoril	6	3	3	0	+4	12
6	Rio Ave	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Nacional	5	3	2	0	+5	11
8	Belenenses	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Maritimo	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Pacos Ferreira	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	5	0	+1	8
12	Arouca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	U. Madeira	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Guimaraes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Moreirense	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Academica	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Tondela	6	1	1	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Porto	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Vitoria Setubal	6	3	1	2	+4	10
4	Arouca	6	1	5	0	+2	8
5	Guimaraes	6	2	2	2	-5	8
6	Sp Braga	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	1	3	-3	7
8	Benfica	4	2	0	2	+4	6
9	Rio Ave	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Moreirense	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Boavista	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-5	4
13	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-7	4
14	Estoril	6	1	0	5	-9	3
15	U. Madeira	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Academica	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Belenenses	6	0	2	4	-15	2
18	Tondela	6	0	1	5	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.