← Match Finder
Premier League
Referee: Graham Scott
Bournemouth
T S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Stoke
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Bournemouth Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
28%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
32%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 15. · Stoke 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 25 15 8 2 +20 53
2 Tottenham 25 13 9 3 +26 48
3 Arsenal 25 14 6 5 +17 48
4 Man City 25 14 5 6 +21 47
5 Man United 26 11 8 7 +9 41
6 West Ham 25 10 9 6 +9 39
7 Southampton 25 10 7 8 +9 37
8 Everton 25 8 11 6 +12 35
9 Liverpool 25 9 8 8 -4 35
10 Watford 25 9 6 10 +0 33
11 Stoke 25 9 6 10 -7 33
12 Crystal Palace 25 9 5 11 -4 32
13 Chelsea 25 7 9 9 -2 30
14 West Brom 25 7 8 10 -9 29
15 Bournemouth 25 7 7 11 -12 28
16 Swansea 25 6 9 10 -9 27
17 Newcastle 25 6 6 13 -18 24
18 Sunderland 26 6 5 15 -18 23
19 Norwich 25 6 5 14 -20 23
20 Aston Villa 25 3 7 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Sep -15 Stoke – Bournemouth 2–1

Match report

Bournemouth Stoke
9′
G. Imbula 0–1
21′
🟨 Mame Biram Diouf
Marc Pugh 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
J. King 🔁
↦ M. Pugh
46′
M. Ritchie 🔁
↦ D. Gosling
46′
46′
🔁 Dionatan
↦ Muniesa
52′
I. Afellay 0–2
J. Walters
53′
🔁 Joselu
↦ G. Johnson
55′
Joselu 0–3
X. Shaqiri
1–3 M. Ritchie
C. Daniels
57′
Andrew Surman 🟨
74′
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ J. Stanislas
75′
Simon Francis 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 S. Ireland
↦ I. Afellay
Harry Arter 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Giannelli Imbula
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Bournemouth

1 A. Boruc G
2 S. Francis D
11 C. Daniels D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
6 A. Surman M
4 D. Gosling M
8 H. Arter M
7 M. Pugh M
19 J. Stanislas M
20 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
17 J. King
30 M. Ritchie
12 J. Iturbe
23 A. Federici
25 S. Distin
28 L. Grabban
32 E. O'Kane

Stoke

1 J. Butland G
3 E. Pieters D
8 G. Johnson D
5 Muniesa D
26 P. Wollscheid D
14 I. Afellay M
6 G. Whelan M
21 G. Imbula M
19 J. Walters F
18 M. Diouf M
22 X. Shaqiri M
Bench (7)
23 Dionatan
11 Joselu
7 S. Ireland
9 P. Odemwingie
25 P. Crouch
27 Bojan
29 J. Haugaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.