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Pro League
Genk
U S U S S
6–1
Full-time
Beveren
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Beveren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 15/19 matches
Win Ø 43%
60%
26%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
53%
79%
Both score Ø 63%
47%
79%
Average goals
2,5
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 5. · Beveren 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 13 1 3 +27 40
2 Gent 17 12 3 2 +22 39
3 Oostende 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Anderlecht 16 10 5 1 +13 35
5 Genk 15 9 2 4 +6 29
6 St Truiden 21 8 2 11 -6 26
7 Waregem 16 7 4 5 +5 25
8 Charleroi 16 7 4 5 +4 25
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 6 7 13 -11 25
10 Standard 19 8 1 10 -11 25
11 Mechelen 20 6 5 9 -7 23
12 Westerlo 25 5 8 12 -20 23
13 Lokeren 21 5 5 11 -7 20
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 6 10 -9 18
15 Beveren 19 5 3 11 -12 18
16 Kortrijk 18 3 7 8 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -15 Beveren – Genk 0–1

Match report

Genk Beveren
1–0 N. Karelis
B. Hamalainen
9′
18′
Z. Gano 1–1
D. Milosevic
2–1 N. Kebano
26′
3–1 L. Bailey
27′
4–1 N. Karelis
N. Kebano
31′
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 M. Marić
↦ O. Cissé
60′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ S. Langil
5–1 T. Buffel
Pozuelo
72′
R. Malinovskiy 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
73′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
77′
6–1 C. Kabasele
L. Bailey
84′
Y. Buyens 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
85′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
4 B. Hamalainen
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
7 N. Karelis
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
18 R. Malinovskiy
77 M. Samatta
71 Y. Buyens
8 B. Kumordzi
11 I. de Camargo
26 L. Köteles
21 J. Uronen

Beveren

1 L. Henkinet
4 V. Moren
2 E. Demir
5 Jonathan Buatu
7 S. Langil
6 O. Cissé
15 T. Moulin
11 D. Milosevic
9 Z. Gano
28 F. Vanzo
14 S. Schrijvers
Bench (7)
10 M. Marić
32 O. Myny
8 G. Coulibaly
17 D. Destorme
18 M. Goblet
67 T. Lumanza
97 L. Nabab

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.