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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Liverpool
U S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Sunderland
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
27 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 3. · Sunderland 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 13 9 3 1 +17 30
2 Chelsea 12 9 1 2 +18 28
3 Liverpool 12 8 3 1 +16 27
4 Arsenal 12 7 4 1 +13 25
5 Tottenham 12 6 6 0 +10 24
6 Man United 12 5 4 3 +3 19
7 Everton 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 Watford 12 5 3 4 -3 18
9 West Brom 12 4 4 4 +1 16
10 Bournemouth 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Southampton 12 3 5 4 +0 14
12 Burnley 13 4 2 7 -9 14
13 Stoke 12 3 4 5 -6 13
14 Leicester 12 3 3 6 -6 12
15 Middlesbrough 12 2 5 5 -3 11
16 Crystal Palace 12 3 2 7 -4 11
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 -10 11
18 Hull 12 3 1 8 -17 10
19 Sunderland 12 2 2 8 -9 8
20 Swansea 12 1 3 8 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Sunderland
D. Origi 🔁
↦ Philippe Coutinho
34′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Lamine Koné
64′
🟨 John O'Shea
Dejan Lovren 🟨
67′
70′
🟨 Steven Pienaar
1–0 D. Origi
J. Henderson
75′
79′
🔁 L. Gooch
↦ S. Pienaar
79′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ D. Watmore
Lucas Leiva 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
87′
2–0 J. Milner
91′
B. Woodburn 🔁
↦ G. Wijnaldum
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 L. Karius G
6 D. Lovren D
2 N. Clyne D
32 J. Matip D
7 J. Milner D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
14 J. Henderson M
10 Philippe Coutinho F
23 E. Can M
11 Roberto Firmino F
19 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
27 D. Origi
21 Lucas Leiva
58 B. Woodburn
22 S. Mignolet
18 Alberto Moreno
53 O. Ejaria
17 R. Klavan

Coach: J. Klopp

Sunderland

4-3-3
13 J. Pickford G
16 J. O'Shea D
2 B. Jones D
23 L. Koné D
3 P. van Aanholt D
4 J. Denayer M
20 S. Pienaar M
14 D. Watmore F
17 D. Ndong M
28 V. Anichebe F
18 J. Defoe F
Bench (7)
46 L. Gooch
44 A. Januzaj
7 S. Larsson
1 V. Mannone
10 W. Khazri
21 Javi Manquillo
22 D. Love

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.