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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Lokeren
T T U U T
1–0
Full-time
St Truiden
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 17%
20%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
40%
53%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 8
7 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lokeren 13. · St Truiden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 15 6 6 3 +4 24
3 Genk 15 7 3 5 +1 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
5 Gent 10 7 1 2 +9 22
6 Standard 15 6 4 5 +8 22
7 Charleroi 11 6 4 1 +5 22
8 Mechelen 16 6 4 6 -2 22
9 Oostende 10 6 2 2 +9 20
10 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
11 Eupen 15 4 3 8 -12 15
12 Beveren 16 3 5 8 -12 14
13 Lokeren 15 3 3 9 -9 12
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 3 2 10 -11 11
15 St Truiden 15 2 4 9 -9 10
16 Westerlo 15 2 3 10 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren St Truiden
Ari Freyr Skúlason 🟨
26′
1–0 M. Marić
32′
M. Terki 🔁
↦ K. Persoons
33′
Half-time 1–0
M. Mirić 🔁
↦ G. Hupperts
54′
59′
🔁 D. Dakonam
↦ Jorge Pulido
62′
🟨 Djene
66′
🔁 F. Tchenkoua
↦ C. Cuevas
M. Tičinović 🔁
↦ B. Straetman
70′
77′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ Y. Ono
78′
🟨 Sascha Kotysch
81′
🟨 Ruben Fernandes
90′
🟨 Mamadou Bagayoko
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lokeren

4-3-3
1 B. Barry G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
11 G. Galitsios D
15 S. Ingason D
8 K. Persoons M
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder F
9 T. De Sutter F
17 G. Hupperts F
35 B. Straetman F
Bench (7)
14 M. Terki
21 M. Mirić
19 M. Tičinović
3 E. Ansah
13 D. Verhulst
25 B. Ňinaj
50 S. Bolbat

Coach: R. Kristinsson

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Ruben Fernandes D
18 M. Bagayoko D
4 Jorge Pulido D
24 P. Valdivia M
16 C. Cuevas M
14 P. Gerkens M
25 Y. Ono M
11 Y. Boli F
77 K. Koubemba F
Bench (7)
3 D. Dakonam
7 F. Tchenkoua
10 R. Bezus
5 A. De Sart
6 S. De Petter
22 W. Janssens
28 W. Dutoît

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.