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Championship

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Rotherham

T T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Leeds

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,2

This season — Championship · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

47%

Points per game

0,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

82%

35%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

3,4

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

2,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

25% Possession 75%

12 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rotherham 24. · Leeds 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	18	13	1	4	+22	40
2	Brighton	18	11	5	2	+17	38
3	Reading	18	10	4	4	+6	34
4	Birmingham	18	8	7	3	+5	31
5	Huddersfield	16	9	2	5	-1	29
6	Norwich	18	8	3	7	-1	27
7	Derby	18	7	5	6	+3	26
8	Leeds	17	8	2	7	+0	26
9	Fulham	18	6	7	5	+4	25
10	Aston Villa	18	5	10	3	+3	25
11	Preston	18	7	4	7	+2	25
12	Sheffield Weds	17	7	4	6	-1	25
13	Bristol City	18	7	3	8	+2	24
14	Ipswich	18	6	6	6	+0	24
15	QPR	18	6	5	7	-7	23
16	Brentford	18	6	4	8	+3	22
17	Nott'm Forest	18	6	4	8	+0	22
18	Barnsley	18	6	4	8	+0	22
19	Burton Albion	18	4	7	7	-5	19
20	Blackburn	18	5	4	9	-7	19
21	Wolves	18	4	6	8	-4	18
22	Cardiff	18	5	3	10	-12	18
23	Wigan	17	3	6	8	-5	15
24	Rotherham	17	1	4	12	-24	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Reading	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Huddersfield	7	6	1	0	+6	19
4	Newcastle	9	6	0	3	+8	18
5	Birmingham	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Aston Villa	9	4	5	0	+7	17
7	Norwich	8	5	1	2	+5	16
8	Ipswich	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Bristol City	8	5	1	2	+3	16
10	Derby	10	4	3	3	+3	15
11	Sheffield Weds	8	5	0	3	+1	15
12	Brentford	9	4	2	3	+6	14
13	Burton Albion	8	4	2	2	+5	14
14	Nott'm Forest	8	4	2	2	+4	14
15	Preston	10	4	2	4	+4	14
16	Leeds	9	4	2	3	+1	14
17	Barnsley	10	3	3	4	-1	12
18	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	-1	12
19	QPR	9	3	3	3	-5	12
20	Fulham	9	2	4	3	+0	10
21	Cardiff	9	3	1	5	-5	10
22	Wigan	8	2	3	3	-1	9
23	Wolves	9	2	2	5	-5	8
24	Rotherham	8	1	3	4	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	9	7	1	1	+14	22
2	Fulham	9	4	3	2	+4	15
3	Brighton	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	Birmingham	9	3	4	2	-1	13
5	Reading	8	4	1	3	-2	13
6	Leeds	8	4	0	4	-1	12
7	Derby	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Preston	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	QPR	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Norwich	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Barnsley	8	3	1	4	+1	10
12	Wolves	9	2	4	3	+1	10
13	Sheffield Weds	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Huddersfield	9	3	1	5	-7	10
15	Bristol City	10	2	2	6	-1	8
16	Brentford	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Nott'm Forest	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Aston Villa	9	1	5	3	-4	8
19	Ipswich	8	2	2	4	-5	8
20	Cardiff	9	2	2	5	-7	8
21	Blackburn	9	2	1	6	-6	7
22	Wigan	9	1	3	5	-4	6
23	Burton Albion	10	0	5	5	-10	5
24	Rotherham	9	0	1	8	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.