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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Chiffi
Torino
U T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Chievo
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
77%
31%
Both score Ø 62%
77%
46%
Average goals
3,5
2,1
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Torino 7. · Chievo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 13 11 0 2 +19 33
2 Roma 13 8 2 3 +16 26
3 Milan 13 8 2 3 +4 26
4 Lazio 13 7 4 2 +12 25
5 Atalanta 13 8 1 4 +7 25
6 Napoli 13 7 3 3 +9 24
7 Torino 13 6 4 3 +13 22
8 Fiorentina 12 5 5 2 +7 20
9 Inter 13 5 3 5 +2 18
10 Chievo 13 5 3 5 -1 18
11 Sampdoria 13 5 3 5 -3 18
12 Genoa 12 4 4 4 +0 16
13 Bologna 13 4 4 5 -5 16
14 Cagliari 13 5 1 7 -10 16
15 Udinese 13 4 3 6 -4 15
16 Sassuolo 13 4 1 8 -9 13
17 Empoli 13 2 4 7 -11 10
18 Pescara 13 1 4 8 -14 7
19 Palermo 13 1 3 9 -16 6
20 Crotone 13 1 2 10 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Chievo
Adem Ljajić 🟨
13′
24′
🟨 Dario Dainelli
1–0 Iago Falqué
A. Barreca
35′
2–0 Iago Falqué
A. Ljajić
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Meggiorini
↦ M. Izco
J. Obi 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
58′
Leandro Castán 🟨
65′
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ Iago Falqué
69′
69′
🔁 R. Inglese
↦ R. Meggiorini
81′
🔁 L. Jallow
↦ J. de Guzmán
A. Acquah 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
82′
85′
R. Inglese 2–1
V. Birsa
89′
🟥 Fabrizio Cacciatore
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
13 L. Rossettini D
4 Leandro Castán D
7 D. Zappacosta M
23 A. Barreca D
18 M. Valdifiori M
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
22 J. Obi
31 L. Boyé
6 A. Acquah
1 D. Padelli
5 C. Bovo
11 M. López
17 J. Martínez
24 E. Moretti
25 S. Lukić
29 L. De Silvestri
90 T. Cucchietti
93 Arlind Ajeti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Chievo

4-3-2-1
70 S. Sorrentino G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
1 J. de Guzmán M
13 M. Izco M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
31 S. Pellissier F
Bench (11)
69 R. Meggiorini
45 R. Inglese
95 L. Jallow
2 N. Spolli
4 N. Rigoni
12 B. Cesar
20 G. Sardo
21 N. Frey
36 F. Costa
90 A. Seculin
98 A. Confente

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Chiffi · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.