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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Newcastle
U T S S S
0–2
Full-time
Tottenham
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
6 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Liverpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Southampton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Leicester 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle Tottenham
J. Lascelles 🔁
↦ P. Dummett
7′
31′
🟨 Harry Kane
C. Mbemba 🔁
↦ F. Lejeune
34′
Half-time 0–0
Jonjo Shelvey 🟥
48′
Matt Ritchie 🟨
52′
58′
🔁 Son Heung-Min
↦ M. Sissoko
61′
⚽ D. Alli 0–1
C. Eriksen
70′
⚽ B. Davies 0–2
C. Eriksen
Mikel Merino 🔁
↦ D. Gayle
76′
82′
🔁 V. Wanyama
↦ D. Alli
86′
🟨 Ben Davies
90′
🔁 H. Winks
↦ M. Dembélé
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
1 R. Elliot G
2 C. Clark D
20 F. Lejeune D
3 P. Dummett D
19 Javi Manquillo D
8 J. Shelvey M
11 M. Ritchie M
30 C. Atsu M
14 I. Hayden M
9 D. Gayle F
17 Ayoze Pérez M
Bench (7)
6 J. Lascelles
18 C. Mbemba
23 Mikel Merino
7 Jacob Murphy
16 R. Aarons
26 K. Darlow
45 A. Mitrović

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
4 T. Alderweireld D
33 B. Davies D
37 K. Walker-Peters D
19 M. Dembélé M
17 M. Sissoko M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
7 Son Heung-Min
12 V. Wanyama
29 H. Winks
9 V. Janssen
13 M. Vorm
27 K. Wimmer
38 C. Carter-Vickers

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.