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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Newcastle
U S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Huddersfield
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
40%
45%
Both score Ø 38%
43%
32%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Newcastle 13. · Huddersfield 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 30 26 3 1 +65 81
2 Liverpool 32 19 9 4 +40 66
3 Man United 30 20 5 5 +35 65
4 Tottenham 30 18 7 5 +34 61
5 Chelsea 30 17 5 8 +25 56
6 Arsenal 30 14 6 10 +14 48
7 Burnley 30 11 10 9 +1 43
8 Leicester 30 10 10 10 +2 40
9 Everton 31 11 7 13 -13 40
10 Bournemouth 31 9 9 13 -12 36
11 Watford 31 10 6 15 -16 36
12 Brighton 30 8 10 12 -12 34
13 Newcastle 30 8 8 14 -10 32
14 Swansea 30 8 7 15 -17 31
15 Huddersfield 31 8 7 16 -27 31
16 Crystal Palace 32 7 9 16 -19 30
17 West Ham 30 7 9 14 -21 30
18 Southampton 30 5 13 12 -15 28
19 Stoke 31 6 9 16 -29 27
20 West Brom 31 3 11 17 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle Huddersfield
6′
🟨 Aaron Mooy
Jamaal Lascelles 🟨
8′
28′
🟨 Jonathan Hogg
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 C. Quaner
↦ E. Kachunga
60′
🟨 Christopher Schindler
C. Atsu 🔁
↦ M. Ritchie
67′
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ D. Gayle
75′
I. Hayden 🔁
↦ M. Diamé
79′
1–0 Ayoze Pérez
Kenedy
80′
83′
🔁 S. Mounié
↦ T. Smith
84′
🟨 Collin Quaner
86′
🔁 S. Malone
↦ R. van La Parra
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-4-1-1
12 M. Dúbravka G
20 F. Lejeune D
6 J. Lascelles D
3 P. Dummett D
22 D. Yedlin D
8 J. Shelvey M
10 M. Diamé M
11 M. Ritchie M
15 Kenedy M
9 D. Gayle F
17 Ayoze Pérez F
Bench (7)
30 C. Atsu
13 I. Slimani
14 I. Hayden
2 C. Clark
7 Jacob Murphy
19 Javi Manquillo
26 K. Darlow

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Huddersfield

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
26 C. Schindler D
5 T. Kongolo D
2 T. Smith D
17 R. van La Parra M
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
21 A. Pritchard F
20 L. Depoitre F
9 E. Kachunga M
Bench (7)
23 C. Quaner
24 S. Mounié
3 S. Malone
8 P. Billing
13 J. Coleman
22 T. Ince
33 F. Hadergjonaj

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.