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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

PSV Eindhoven

U S S T S

5–1

Full-time

NAC Breda

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 54%

82%

25%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

75%

54%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

57%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

36 Shots 6

14 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 11

9 Corners 0

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · NAC Breda 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	28	23	2	3	+40	71
2	Ajax	28	20	4	4	+50	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	18	5	5	+25	59
4	Feyenoord	28	14	6	8	+21	48
5	Zwolle	29	12	7	10	-2	43
6	Utrecht	24	11	7	6	+1	40
7	Vitesse	25	10	8	7	+9	38
8	Heracles	28	10	7	11	-12	37
9	Den Haag	26	10	6	10	-4	36
10	Heerenveen	26	9	8	9	-4	35
11	Excelsior	28	10	5	13	-6	35
12	VVV Venlo	28	7	12	9	-9	33
13	Groningen	28	6	11	11	-4	29
14	Willem II	28	7	6	15	-11	27
15	NAC Breda	28	7	6	15	-14	27
16	Roda	29	6	5	18	-29	23
17	Sparta Rotterdam	29	5	6	18	-31	21
18	Twente	28	4	7	17	-20	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	1	0	+28	40
2	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+26	34
3	Heracles	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+11	29
5	Feyenoord	14	8	3	3	+11	27
6	Zwolle	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	14	5	7	2	+7	22
9	Willem II	14	5	3	6	+5	18
10	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
12	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+1	17
13	NAC Breda	14	5	1	8	-8	16
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Twente	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	2	8	-14	14
17	Roda	14	3	3	8	-13	12
18	Excelsior	14	2	4	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	Ajax	14	9	3	2	+24	30
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+14	30
4	Excelsior	14	8	1	5	+2	25
5	Feyenoord	14	6	3	5	+10	21
6	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	VVV Venlo	14	4	7	3	-4	19
8	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	-4	18
9	Heerenveen	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Utrecht	12	5	2	5	-3	17
11	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-10	16
12	NAC Breda	14	2	5	7	-6	11
13	Roda	15	3	2	10	-16	11
14	Willem II	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Groningen	14	1	4	9	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	15	1	4	10	-17	7
17	Heracles	14	1	4	9	-20	7
18	Twente	14	1	2	11	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.