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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Hoffenheim
T U S S U
6–0
Full-time
FC Koln
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
37%
19%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
5 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 7. · FC Koln 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 21 3 3 +46 66
2 Schalke 04 27 14 7 6 +11 49
3 Dortmund 27 13 9 5 +21 48
4 Ein Frankfurt 27 13 6 8 +8 45
5 Leverkusen 27 12 8 7 +12 44
6 RB Leipzig 27 12 7 8 +5 43
7 Hoffenheim 27 10 9 8 +5 39
8 Stuttgart 27 11 4 12 -5 37
9 M'gladbach 27 10 6 11 -6 36
10 Augsburg 27 9 8 10 +1 35
11 Hertha 27 8 11 8 +0 35
12 Werder Bremen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
13 Hannover 27 8 8 11 -6 32
14 Freiburg 27 6 12 9 -18 30
15 Wolfsburg 27 4 13 10 -9 25
16 Mainz 27 6 7 14 -17 25
17 FC Koln 27 5 5 17 -22 20
18 Hamburg 27 4 6 17 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim FC Koln
1–0 S. Gnabry
B. Hübner
22′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Gnabry
F. Grillitsch
47′
56′
🔁 J. Córdoba
↦ Y. Ōsako
56′
🔁 C. Pizarro
↦ L. Bittencourt
3–0 M. Uth
L. Rupp
56′
H. Nordtveit 🔁
↦ B. Hübner
60′
4–0 L. Rupp
M. Uth
61′
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ A. Kramarić
65′
5–0 M. Uth
65′
R. Zulj 🔁
↦ L. Rupp
67′
69′
🔁 F. Sørensen
↦ J. Hector
6–0 S. Zuber
M. Uth
72′
Robert Žulj 🟨
76′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-4-3
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
22 K. Vogt D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
25 K. Akpoguma D
7 L. Rupp M
16 N. Schulz M
11 F. Grillitsch M
27 A. Kramarić F
19 M. Uth F
29 S. Gnabry M
Bench (7)
6 H. Nordtveit
17 S. Zuber
20 R. Zulj
8 E. Polanski
18 N. Amiri
28 Á. Szalai
33 A. Stolz

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

FC Koln

3-4-2-1
1 T. Horn G
5 D. Maroh D
3 D. Heintz D
22 Jorge Meré D
7 M. Risse M
6 M. Höger M
14 J. Hector M
21 L. Bittencourt M
41 V. Koziello M
11 S. Zoller F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
15 J. Córdoba
39 C. Pizarro
4 F. Sørensen
9 S. Terodde
18 T. Kessler
20 S. Özcan
33 M. Lehmann

Coach: S. Ruthenbeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.