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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Stuttgart

S S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Hamburg

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

0,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 28%

41%

15%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 37%

37%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 8. · Hamburg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	27	21	3	3	+46	66
2	Schalke 04	27	14	7	6	+11	49
3	Dortmund	27	13	9	5	+21	48
4	Ein Frankfurt	27	13	6	8	+8	45
5	Leverkusen	27	12	8	7	+12	44
6	RB Leipzig	27	12	7	8	+5	43
7	Hoffenheim	27	10	9	8	+5	39
8	Stuttgart	27	11	4	12	-5	37
9	M'gladbach	27	10	6	11	-6	36
10	Augsburg	27	9	8	10	+1	35
11	Hertha	27	8	11	8	+0	35
12	Werder Bremen	27	8	9	10	-2	33
13	Hannover	27	8	8	11	-6	32
14	Freiburg	27	6	12	9	-18	30
15	Wolfsburg	27	4	13	10	-9	25
16	Mainz	27	6	7	14	-17	25
17	FC Koln	27	5	5	17	-22	20
18	Hamburg	27	4	6	17	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	11	2	0	+31	35
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+11	28
3	Stuttgart	13	8	2	3	+5	26
4	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+13	25
5	Hoffenheim	13	7	4	2	+10	25
6	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+7	25
7	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	3	4	+7	24
8	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
9	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+4	21
11	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	-1	21
12	Augsburg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+2	19
14	Hertha	13	4	5	4	-1	17
15	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-3	17
16	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-3	13
17	Hamburg	14	3	4	7	-5	13
18	FC Koln	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+15	31
2	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+4	24
3	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Hertha	14	4	6	4	+1	18
7	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-1	16
8	RB Leipzig	13	4	3	6	-6	15
9	Werder Bremen	14	3	5	6	-4	14
10	Hoffenheim	14	3	5	6	-5	14
11	M'gladbach	13	4	2	7	-8	14
12	Wolfsburg	13	2	6	5	-6	12
13	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-10	11
14	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Freiburg	13	1	6	6	-17	9
16	Mainz	14	1	5	8	-14	8
17	FC Koln	13	2	2	9	-14	8
18	Hamburg	13	1	2	10	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.