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Premier League
Referee: Lee Probert
Bournemouth
T S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Everton
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bournemouth 6. · Everton 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 3 2 1 0 +7 7
2 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Watford 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Tottenham 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Everton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Leicester 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Man United 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Brighton 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Wolves 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Newcastle 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Burnley 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Arsenal 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Fulham 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 West Ham 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Everton
41′
🟥 Richarlison
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Gylfi Sigurðsson
56′
T. Walcott 0–1
C. Tosun
Adam Smith 🟥
61′
J. Ibe 🔁
↦ D. Brooks
64′
66′
M. Keane 0–2
G. Sigurðsson
70′
🟨 Cenk Tosun
1–2 J. King
75′
L. Cook 🔁
↦ A. Surman
76′
2–2 N. Aké
79′
81′
🟨 Idrissa Gueye
84′
🔁 D. Calvert-Lewin
↦ C. Tosun
85′
🔁 Bernard
↦ T. Walcott
96′
🔁 K. Zouma
↦ M. Keane
L. Mousset 🔁
↦ J. King
102′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-4-2
27 A. Begović G
11 C. Daniels D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
6 A. Surman M
4 D. Gosling M
24 R. Fraser M
20 D. Brooks M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
10 J. Ibe
16 L. Cook
9 L. Mousset
1 A. Boruc
2 S. Francis
8 J. Lerma
18 J. Defoe

Coach: E. Howe

Everton

4-4-1-1
1 J. Pickford G
3 L. Baines D
23 S. Coleman D
4 M. Keane D
2 M. Holgate D
10 G. Sigurðsson F
17 I. Gueye M
26 T. Davies M
11 T. Walcott M
14 C. Tosun F
30 Richarlison M
Bench (7)
29 D. Calvert-Lewin
20 Bernard
5 K. Zouma
12 L. Digne
19 O. Niasse
22 M. Stekelenburg
28 K. Dowell

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lee Probert · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.