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Serie A

Referee: Rosario Abisso

Cagliari

S S T U S

1–1

Full-time

Milan

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

6 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 16. · Milan 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Torino	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Inter	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Empoli	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Chievo	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Inter	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Napoli	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Torino	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.