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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Schlager
Werder Bremen
U U S U S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 7. · Nurnberg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Hertha 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Mainz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 RB Leipzig 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Hannover 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Nurnberg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -4 0
16 Freiburg 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Stuttgart 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Nurnberg
Davy Klaassen 🟨
24′
1–0 M. Eggestein
D. Klaassen
26′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 E. Löwen
↦ A. Fuchs
61′
🔁 V. Misidjan
↦ Matheus Pereira
Philipp Bargfrede 🟨
65′
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ M. Harnik
67′
N. Şahin 🔁
↦ P. Bargfrede
71′
82′
🔁 T. Knöll
↦ O. Petrak
M. Friedl 🔁
↦ Y. Ōsako
88′
92′
V. Misidjan 1–1
H. Behrens
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-1-4-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
44 P. Bargfrede M
30 D. Klaassen M
35 M. Eggestein M
9 M. Harnik F
10 M. Kruse F
8 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
11 M. Rashica
17 N. Şahin
32 M. Friedl
4 C. Pizarro
7 F. Kainz
24 J. Eggestein
40 L. Plogmann

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Nurnberg

4-3-3
1 F. Bredlow G
33 G. Margreitter D
22 E. Valentini D
23 T. Leibold D
28 L. Mühl D
18 H. Behrens M
31 O. Petrak M
35 A. Fuchs M
9 M. Ishak F
14 Y. Kubo F
27 Matheus Pereira F
Bench (7)
17 E. Löwen
24 V. Misidjan
19 T. Knöll
8 R. Bauer
21 F. Palacios
26 C. Mathenia
29 P. Erras

Coach: M. Köllner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Schlager · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.