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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Sarpsborg 08
T T T S U
2–2
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
18%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 14. · Stromsgodset 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 14 9 2 3 +20 29
2 Bodo/Glimt 12 8 2 2 +12 26
3 Odd 12 8 1 3 +6 25
4 Brann 14 6 4 4 +2 22
5 Valerenga 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Viking 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Kristiansund 13 5 3 5 -1 18
8 Rosenborg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
9 Haugesund 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Lillestrom 13 4 3 6 -4 15
11 Ranheim 13 4 3 6 -4 15
12 Tromso 13 4 1 8 -11 13
13 Mjondalen 13 2 6 5 -6 12
14 Sarpsborg 08 11 2 5 4 -2 11
15 Stabaek 11 3 2 6 -7 11
16 Stromsgodset 12 2 3 7 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset
25′
🟨 Kristoffer Tokstad
29′
Sheldon Bateau 1–0
own goal
Jörgen Strand Larsen 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
Kristoffer Larsen 🔁
↦ Jonathan Lindseth
46′
2–0 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
Kristoffer Larsen
49′
54′
🟨 Martin Spelmann
59′
🟨 Henning Hauger
3–0 Jörgen Strand Larsen
Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
63′
70′
🔁 Mostafa Abdellaoue
↦ Amahl Pellegrino
70′
🔁 Johan Hove
↦ Martin Spelmann
71′
Kristoffer Tokstad 3–1
Steffen Skalevik 🔁
↦ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
77′
79′
🟨 Mounir Hamoud
80′
🔁 Martin Ovenstad
↦ Kristoffer Tokstad
Anwar Elyounoussi 🔁
↦ Jon-Helge Tveita
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 Aleksander Vasyutin G
22 Jon-Helge Tveita D
44 Sheldon Bateau D
6 Nicolai Naess D
16 Joachim Thomassen D
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
8 Matti Lund Nielsen M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen F
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
18 Sebastian Jarl
19 Kristoffer Larsen
24 Anwar Elyounoussi
27 Aboubacar Konte
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
10 Steffen Skalevik

Coach: G. Bakke

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 Viljar Myhra G
2 Mounir Hamoud D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
39 Lars Saetra D
25 Stian Ringstad D
23 Martin Spelmann M
6 Henning Hauger M
7 Herman Stengel M
11 Kristoffer Tokstad F
77 Muhammed Keita F
90 Amahl Pellegrino F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
70 Sondre Fosnaess Hanssen
8 Johan Hove
18 Martin Ovenstad
19 Halldor Stenevik
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue
9 Sebastian Pedersen

Coach: H. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.