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Championship

Referee: Keith Hill

Leeds

T S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Charlton

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Charlton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 44/44 matches

Win Ø 25%

32%

18%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

45%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

25 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 12. · Charlton 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	45	26	10	9	+32	88
2	Burnley	44	24	15	5	+33	87
3	Brighton	42	24	13	5	+30	85
4	Hull	42	23	10	9	+36	79
5	Derby	42	19	14	9	+18	71
6	Sheffield Weds	41	18	14	9	+19	68
7	Cardiff	44	17	16	11	+8	67
8	Ipswich	44	16	15	13	+0	63
9	Birmingham	45	16	14	15	+4	62
10	Brentford	44	17	8	19	-2	59
11	Preston	44	14	16	14	-1	58
12	Leeds	44	14	16	14	-7	58
13	QPR	44	13	18	13	+0	57
14	Wolves	44	13	15	16	-6	54
15	Reading	44	13	13	18	-4	52
16	Huddersfield	44	13	12	19	-3	51
17	Nott'm Forest	44	12	15	17	-5	51
18	Blackburn	44	11	16	17	-3	49
19	Rotherham	44	13	10	21	-13	49
20	Bristol City	44	12	13	19	-20	49
21	Fulham	44	11	15	18	-11	48
22	Milton Keynes Dons	44	9	12	23	-28	39
23	Charlton	44	8	13	23	-38	37
24	Bolton	45	5	15	25	-39	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	22	16	4	2	+26	52
2	Hull	20	14	6	0	+33	48
3	Burnley	22	14	6	2	+23	48
4	Brighton	21	15	3	3	+22	48
5	Cardiff	22	12	8	2	+13	44
6	Sheffield Weds	21	12	7	2	+22	43
7	Derby	21	11	7	3	+18	40
8	QPR	22	9	9	4	+11	36
9	Reading	22	8	9	5	+6	33
10	Ipswich	22	8	8	6	+3	32
11	Birmingham	23	9	5	9	+0	32
12	Brentford	22	9	4	9	+0	31
13	Preston	22	7	9	6	+0	30
14	Rotherham	22	8	6	8	-2	30
15	Blackburn	22	7	8	7	+4	29
16	Leeds	22	7	8	7	-4	29
17	Wolves	22	6	10	6	-1	28
18	Nott'm Forest	22	7	7	8	-1	28
19	Huddersfield	22	7	6	9	+4	27
20	Fulham	22	7	5	10	-1	26
21	Bolton	23	5	11	7	-2	26
22	Bristol City	22	6	7	9	-4	25
23	Milton Keynes Dons	22	7	3	12	-15	24
24	Charlton	22	5	8	9	-9	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	22	10	9	3	+10	39
2	Brighton	21	9	10	2	+8	37
3	Middlesbrough	23	10	6	7	+6	36
4	Hull	22	9	4	9	+3	31
5	Derby	21	8	7	6	+0	31
6	Ipswich	22	8	7	7	-3	31
7	Birmingham	22	7	9	6	+4	30
8	Leeds	22	7	8	7	-3	29
9	Preston	22	7	7	8	-1	28
10	Brentford	22	8	4	10	-2	28
11	Wolves	22	7	5	10	-5	26
12	Sheffield Weds	20	6	7	7	-3	25
13	Huddersfield	22	6	6	10	-7	24
14	Bristol City	22	6	6	10	-16	24
15	Nott'm Forest	22	5	8	9	-4	23
16	Cardiff	22	5	8	9	-5	23
17	Fulham	22	4	10	8	-10	22
18	QPR	22	4	9	9	-11	21
19	Blackburn	22	4	8	10	-7	20
20	Reading	22	5	4	13	-10	19
21	Rotherham	22	5	4	13	-11	19
22	Milton Keynes Dons	22	2	9	11	-13	15
23	Charlton	22	3	5	14	-29	14
24	Bolton	22	0	4	18	-37	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.