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Pro League
Beveren
T T U T T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
68%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Beveren 16. · Royal Excel Mouscron 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 25 15 7 3 +25 52
3 Anderlecht 25 14 7 4 +15 49
4 Oostende 26 13 6 7 +10 45
5 Genk 23 13 3 7 +15 42
6 Standard 28 12 3 13 -11 39
7 Mechelen 29 10 7 12 -7 37
8 Charleroi 25 9 7 9 +3 34
9 Waregem 26 9 6 11 -1 33
10 Kortrijk 26 8 9 9 -1 33
11 Lokeren 29 8 8 13 -7 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 7 9 12 -10 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 29 8 5 16 -15 29
16 Beveren 28 7 5 16 -23 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 S. Schrijvers
F. Vanzo
7′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Coulibaly
↦ M. Šćepović
63′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ T. Mézague
G. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ Z. MSila
69′
L. Nabab 🔁
↦ D. Milosevic
73′
78′
🔁 F. Mulić
↦ T. Dingome
I. Sawaneh 🔁
↦ S. Langil
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Beveren

18 M. Goblet
4 V. Moren
2 E. Demir
5 Jonathan Buatu
21 L. Jans
10 M. Marić
7 S. Langil
55 Z. M'Sila
11 D. Milosevic
28 F. Vanzo
14 S. Schrijvers
Bench (7)
8 G. Coulibaly
97 L. Nabab
12 I. Sawaneh
23 M. Caufriez
26 M. Janssens
27 Hugo Sousa
29 S. Van Dooren

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
23 M. Tirpan
55 C. Manea
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
19 T. Dingome
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
17 E. Coulibaly
98 F. Olinga
45 F. Mulić
15 J. Castelletto
21 S. Amallah
27 Frederic Maciel
33 T. Defourmy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.