Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

Leverkusen

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Hertha

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Leverkusen Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 49%

52%

45%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

45%

42%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · Hertha 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	32	26	4	2	+60	82
2	Dortmund	32	24	5	3	+49	77
3	Leverkusen	31	16	6	9	+15	54
4	M'gladbach	32	15	4	13	+14	49
5	Hertha	31	14	7	10	+2	49
6	Schalke 04	32	14	6	12	-1	48
7	Mainz	32	13	7	12	+2	46
8	FC Koln	32	10	11	11	-4	41
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	32	10	10	12	-7	40
10	Wolfsburg	32	10	9	13	-5	39
11	Hamburg	32	10	8	14	-7	38
12	Augsburg	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Hoffenheim	32	9	10	13	-11	37
14	Darmstadt	32	8	11	13	-14	35
15	Stuttgart	31	9	6	16	-17	33
16	Ein Frankfurt	32	8	9	15	-18	33
17	Werder Bremen	31	8	7	16	-20	31
18	Hannover	32	6	4	22	-30	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	16	14	2	0	+35	44
2	Bayern Munich	16	14	1	1	+41	43
3	M'gladbach	16	12	1	3	+23	37
4	Hertha	16	9	5	2	+10	32
5	Wolfsburg	16	8	5	3	+13	29
6	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Leverkusen	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Mainz	16	8	3	5	+5	27
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	7	5	4	+5	26
10	Hoffenheim	16	6	6	4	+0	24
11	Ein Frankfurt	16	5	6	5	-3	21
12	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	FC Koln	16	5	4	7	-2	19
14	Stuttgart	16	6	1	9	-8	19
15	Augsburg	16	3	6	7	-7	15
16	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Darmstadt	16	2	6	8	-12	12
18	Hannover	16	3	0	13	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	3	1	+19	39
2	Dortmund	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	Leverkusen	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Darmstadt	16	6	5	5	-2	23
5	Augsburg	16	6	4	6	-1	22
6	FC Koln	16	5	7	4	-2	22
7	Schalke 04	16	6	2	8	-5	20
8	Mainz	16	5	4	7	-3	19
9	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-5	19
10	Hertha	15	5	2	8	-8	17
11	Werder Bremen	16	5	2	9	-12	17
12	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	3	5	8	-12	14
14	Hoffenheim	16	3	4	9	-11	13
15	Hannover	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	M'gladbach	16	3	3	10	-9	12
17	Ein Frankfurt	16	3	3	10	-15	12
18	Wolfsburg	16	2	4	10	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.