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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Hoffenheim

S U S S T

2–1

Full-time

FC Ingolstadt 04

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim FC Ingolstadt 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 29%

26%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

48%

26%

Both score Ø 50%

65%

35%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 14. · FC Ingolstadt 04 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	31	26	3	2	+60	81
2	Dortmund	31	23	5	3	+45	74
3	Leverkusen	31	16	6	9	+15	54
4	Hertha	31	14	7	10	+2	49
5	M'gladbach	31	15	3	13	+14	48
6	Mainz	31	13	6	12	+2	45
7	Schalke 04	31	13	6	12	-3	45
8	FC Koln	32	10	11	11	-4	41
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	31	10	10	11	-6	40
10	Wolfsburg	31	10	9	12	-1	39
11	Hamburg	31	10	7	14	-7	37
12	Augsburg	32	9	10	13	-8	37
13	Darmstadt	31	8	11	12	-13	35
14	Hoffenheim	31	8	10	13	-12	34
15	Stuttgart	31	9	6	16	-17	33
16	Werder Bremen	31	8	7	16	-20	31
17	Ein Frankfurt	31	7	9	15	-19	30
18	Hannover	31	6	4	21	-28	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	14	0	1	+41	42
2	Dortmund	15	13	2	0	+31	41
3	M'gladbach	16	12	1	3	+23	37
4	Hertha	16	9	5	2	+10	32
5	Wolfsburg	16	8	5	3	+13	29
6	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Leverkusen	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Mainz	15	8	2	5	+5	26
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	7	5	4	+5	26
10	Hoffenheim	15	5	6	4	-1	21
11	Ein Frankfurt	16	5	6	5	-3	21
12	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	FC Koln	16	5	4	7	-2	19
14	Stuttgart	16	6	1	9	-8	19
15	Augsburg	16	3	6	7	-7	15
16	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Darmstadt	15	2	6	7	-11	12
18	Hannover	15	3	0	12	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	3	1	+19	39
2	Dortmund	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	Leverkusen	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Darmstadt	16	6	5	5	-2	23
5	Augsburg	16	6	4	6	-1	22
6	FC Koln	16	5	7	4	-2	22
7	Mainz	16	5	4	7	-3	19
8	Hamburg	15	5	3	7	-5	18
9	Schalke 04	15	5	2	8	-7	17
10	Hertha	15	5	2	8	-8	17
11	Werder Bremen	16	5	2	9	-12	17
12	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	3	5	7	-11	14
14	Hoffenheim	16	3	4	9	-11	13
15	Hannover	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	M'gladbach	15	3	2	10	-9	11
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	15	2	3	10	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.