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Ligue 1

Referee: Nicolas Rainville

Lyon

S S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Gazelec FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 36%

49%

23%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

51%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

71% Possession 29%

6 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 0

5 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 3. · Gazelec FC Ajaccio 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	28	5	2	+75	89
2	Monaco	36	16	14	6	+10	62
3	Lyon	35	17	8	10	+21	59
4	St Etienne	36	17	7	12	+8	58
5	Nice	36	16	9	11	+14	57
6	Lille	36	14	14	8	+11	56
7	Rennes	36	13	13	10	+1	52
8	Angers	35	13	11	11	+5	50
9	Nantes	36	12	12	12	-6	48
10	Caen	36	14	6	16	-15	48
11	Montpellier	36	13	7	16	+2	46
12	Bordeaux	35	11	13	11	-9	46
13	Bastia	36	12	8	16	-8	44
14	Guingamp	36	11	10	15	-8	43
15	Lorient	36	10	13	13	-9	43
16	Marseille	35	8	17	10	+4	41
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	35	8	13	14	-15	37
18	Reims	36	9	9	18	-15	36
19	Toulouse	36	7	13	16	-12	34
20	Troyes	36	3	8	25	-54	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	14	3	1	+43	45
2	Nice	18	11	2	5	+14	35
3	Lyon	17	10	4	3	+20	34
4	St Etienne	18	10	4	4	+11	34
5	Monaco	18	9	6	3	+9	33
6	Lille	18	9	5	4	+10	32
7	Bastia	18	10	2	6	+8	32
8	Nantes	18	8	5	5	+1	29
9	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+4	27
10	Caen	18	8	3	7	-5	27
11	Angers	17	6	8	3	+7	26
12	Guingamp	18	6	7	5	+4	25
13	Lorient	18	6	7	5	+4	25
14	Rennes	18	6	7	5	+1	25
15	Montpellier	18	8	0	10	+1	24
16	Reims	18	6	5	7	+2	23
17	Toulouse	18	5	7	6	+7	22
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	5	7	6	-5	22
19	Marseille	18	2	11	5	+2	17
20	Troyes	18	1	6	11	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+32	44
2	Monaco	18	7	8	3	+1	29
3	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+0	27
4	Lyon	18	7	4	7	+1	25
5	Marseille	17	6	6	5	+2	24
6	Lille	18	5	9	4	+1	24
7	Angers	18	7	3	8	-2	24
8	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
9	Montpellier	18	5	7	6	+1	22
10	Nice	18	5	7	6	+0	22
11	Caen	18	6	3	9	-10	21
12	Nantes	18	4	7	7	-7	19
13	Bordeaux	18	4	7	7	-13	19
14	Guingamp	18	5	3	10	-12	18
15	Lorient	18	4	6	8	-13	18
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	17	3	6	8	-10	15
17	Reims	18	3	4	11	-17	13
18	Bastia	18	2	6	10	-16	12
19	Toulouse	18	2	6	10	-19	12
20	Troyes	18	2	2	14	-31	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.