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Championship

Referee: Jeremy Simpson

Norwich

U T S S S

3–1

Full-time

Burton Albion

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Burton Albion

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Championship · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Norwich 2. · Burton Albion 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	8	6	1	1	+5	19
2	Norwich	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Newcastle	8	5	0	3	+10	15
4	Barnsley	8	5	0	3	+8	15
5	Birmingham	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Brentford	8	4	2	2	+8	14
7	Brighton	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Reading	8	4	2	2	-1	14
9	Fulham	8	3	4	1	+2	13
10	Wolves	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Ipswich	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Bristol City	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Nott'm Forest	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Sheffield Weds	8	3	2	3	-2	11
15	Leeds	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	QPR	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Burton Albion	8	2	3	3	+0	9
18	Preston	9	3	0	6	-4	9
19	Aston Villa	8	1	5	2	+0	8
20	Derby	8	1	3	4	-5	6
21	Rotherham	8	1	3	4	-11	6
22	Wigan	9	1	2	6	-3	5
23	Blackburn	8	1	2	5	-7	5
24	Cardiff	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Brentford	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Norwich	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Barnsley	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Brighton	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Nott'm Forest	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Sheffield Weds	4	3	0	1	+1	9
8	Ipswich	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Reading	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Aston Villa	4	1	3	0	+3	6
13	Newcastle	4	2	0	2	+2	6
14	Rotherham	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Preston	5	2	0	3	+1	6
16	Burton Albion	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Wigan	4	1	2	1	+2	5
18	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-2	5
20	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-1	4
21	Blackburn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
22	QPR	4	1	1	2	-5	4
23	Cardiff	4	1	0	3	-4	3
24	Derby	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Birmingham	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Fulham	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Norwich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Barnsley	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	QPR	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Leeds	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Reading	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Brighton	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Brentford	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Bristol City	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Ipswich	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Derby	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Burton Albion	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Preston	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Sheffield Weds	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Aston Villa	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-4	2
21	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
22	Blackburn	4	0	1	3	-5	1
23	Wigan	5	0	0	5	-5	0
24	Rotherham	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.