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Championship
Referee: Geoff Eltringham
Fulham
T U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Bolton
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Bolton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — Championship · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 21%
33%
8%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
46%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

77% Possession 23%
19 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 10. · Bolton 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 14 10 0 4 +8 30
2 Wolves 13 9 2 2 +11 29
3 Cardiff 13 8 3 2 +8 27
4 Leeds 14 7 2 5 +8 23
5 Norwich 13 6 4 3 -1 22
6 Bristol City 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Preston 13 5 6 2 +6 21
8 Derby 12 5 4 3 +4 19
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 +5 18
10 Fulham 12 4 6 2 +4 18
11 Ipswich 12 6 0 6 +2 18
12 Nott'm Forest 13 6 0 7 -4 18
13 Sheffield Weds 14 4 5 5 +0 17
14 Hull 13 4 4 5 +4 16
15 Middlesbrough 12 4 4 4 +3 16
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 +2 16
17 QPR 13 3 6 4 -1 15
18 Brentford 13 2 7 4 -1 13
19 Barnsley 13 3 4 6 -3 13
20 Reading 12 3 3 6 -3 12
21 Birmingham 13 3 2 8 -13 11
22 Burton Albion 13 2 4 7 -19 10
23 Sunderland 13 1 6 6 -9 9
24 Bolton 13 1 3 9 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Bolton
12′
🟨 Karl Henry
28′
Sammy Ameobi 0–1
B. Alnwick
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 A. Robinson
↦ A. Taylor
57′
🟨 David Wheater
N. Kebano 🔁
↦ Rui Fonte
57′
68′
🔁 Filipe Morais
↦ Sammy Ameobi
S. Johansen 🔁
↦ O. Norwood
70′
78′
🟨 Ben Alnwick
82′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ J. Vela
84′
🟨 Mark Little
Kevin McDonald 🟨
86′
L. de la Torre 🔁
↦ T. Kalas
89′
1–1 T. Cairney
K. McDonald
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fulham

4-3-3
27 D. Button G
13 T. Ream D
26 T. Kalas D
3 R. Sessegnon D
6 K. McDonald M
11 F. Ayité F
10 T. Cairney M
16 O. Norwood M
2 R. Fredericks D
9 Rui Fonte F
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (7)
7 N. Kebano
8 S. Johansen
36 L. de la Torre
1 M. Bettinelli
4 D. Odoi
37 A. Edun
44 I. Cissé

Coach: S. Jokanović

Bolton

4-2-3-1
13 B. Alnwick G
3 A. Taylor D
31 D. Wheater D
2 M. Little D
5 M. Beevers D
24 K. Henry M
21 D. Pratley M
10 Sammy Ameobi M
6 J. Vela M
14 G. Madine F
20 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
15 A. Robinson
22 Filipe Morais
9 A. Le Fondre
12 C. Noone
17 Derik Osede
23 S. Darby
33 M. Howard

Coach: J. Phillips

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.